Thursday, January 28, 2016

Donald Trump Leads Ted Cruz 30-to-23 Percent in Latest Monmouth University Poll (VIDEO)

Folks were saying it's a "dead heat" as late as Monday and Tuesday this week, but Trump keeps expanding his lead in the Hawkeye State.

His dissing of the Fox News GOP debate's not going to hurt him. Frankly, there's not much Ted Cruz can do to recapture the momentum of the race. If traditional political science is correct, the superior ground game's going to win the day on Monday.

I have no clue. I'm going off the polls to predict a Donald Trump victory. But we'll see. We'll see.

At WGAL News 8 Lancaster, "Iowa poll: Trump builds on lead over Cruz":
WASHINGTON (CNN) — Donald Trump has opened up a solid lead over Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in the GOP caucus in Iowa, according to a new poll out Wednesday.

The GOP front-runner tops Cruz 30% to 23% in a Monmouth University poll, gaining 11 points from a similar survey in December. Then, Cruz was up 24% to 19% over Trump.

It's Trump's highest number in any Monmouth polling of Iowa, the university said.

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio has held steady in third place with 16% support among likely caucus-goers. In fourth place, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson (10%) is the only other candidate cracking double digits.

Cruz leads Trump in one area: voters' second choice. Cruz is the second choice of 20% of likely caucus-goers, whereas Trump is 9% of likely voters' second choice. That matters because in the Iowa caucus format, as voters can change their minds as the night wears on.

Cruz leads Trump among past party voters, very conservative voters, tea party supporters and evangelicals. Trump leads Cruz among newer GOP voters, somewhat conservative voters, non-tea partiers and non-evangelicals, the poll found.

The poll was conducted before Trump announced he would skip the last GOP debate before Iowa votes on Monday...
There's video at the link.