Friday, January 8, 2016

Donald Trump Nearly Doubles Closest Rivals in Latest Public Policy Polling Survey for New Hampshire

At PPP, the most accurate polling outfit in the 2012 election, "Trump Maintains Lead in NH; Dem Race Close":
PPP's newest New Hampshire poll finds Donald Trump leading in the state by 14 points. Trump's position in the state has been steady over the last three months- we found him at 28% in mid-October, 27% in early December, and we find him at 29% this month. 5 other candidates are in double digits but pretty closely clustered and all well behind Trump- Marco Rubio at 15%, Chris Christie and John Kasich at 11%, and Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz at 10%. Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina at 4%, Rand Paul at 3%, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum at 1%, and Jim Gilmore with less than 1% round out the field...
More.

The raw internals are here, "Establishment Split Leaves Trump Well Ahead in NH; Clinton/Sanders Still Basically Tied."

If Trump falls short of an Iowa win, it's no doubt going to be a lot closer race in New Hampshire. Frankly, it's pretty fascinating at this point. Kinda weird, too, that the actually caucuses and primaries are actually upon us. It's all speculation and polling until then. It's going to shake out rather quickly after that, I expect. Forget that brokered convention talk, even with all the proportional representation and what not. The contests in February are going winnow the field drastically. Trump, Cruz, and Rubio will be left standing, I suspect.

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