What's up with that?
Astute Bloggers has the lowdown, "MORE BS POLLS FROM THE LEGACY MEDIA: NYTIMES HAS OBAMA NEARLY 10% UP IN OHIO AND FLORIDA":
THE SAMPLE DOESN'T REFLECT THE LIKELY TURNOUT AT ALL.That's solid, although I'm interested to see some comparative polling data. The Florida Times Union has this, for example, "President Obama holds slight lead over Mitt Romney in Times-Union Florida poll" (via Memeorandum):
THE SAMPLE HAS 9% MORE DEMS THAN REPUBLICANS, AND GIVES OBAMA A 9% LEAD.
IF THE DEMS TURNOUT LIKE THEY DID IN THE LAST ELECTION, THEN OBAMA LOSES.
OBAMA'S WEAK FUNDRAISING AND SMALL CROWDS OFFERS INCONTROVERTIBLE PROOF THAT HE IS NOT AS POPULAR NOW AS HE WAS IN 2008.
THE 2010 ELECTION PROVES THE GOP IS MORE ENERGIZED - AS DO ROMNEY RYAN CROWDS AND FUNDRAISING.
Overwhelming majorities with black and Hispanic voters have helped President Barack Obama to a slim lead in the Times-Union’s Insider Advantage/Majority Opinion Research Florida Presidential Poll released Tuesday.Well now, that's not quite so dramatic.
Among likely voters, 49 percent favor Obama for November’s election and 46 percent like Mitt Romney.
One percent backed other candidates and 4 percent were undecided.
The poll of 540 Floridians has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.
A Washington Post poll, also released Tuesday, shows Obama leading Romney, 51 percent to 47 percent among likely Florida voters. Among all registered voters in the state, the poll shows Obama up by 9 points.
That said, I'm not going to freak out with those right-wing polling conspiracies that have been making the rounds in the conservative fever swamps. Romney's trailing. He's been trailing for a long time. We need to see some swing states polling with Obama trailing before I'll be real confident about the GOP's prospects.
More at Memeorandum.
No comments:
Post a Comment