The Democrats’ road to a future House majority is steep, because their last redoubts in the Deep South and Appalachia are now gone, and they failed to make inroads in the suburban and exurban seats that are now so crucial to them to build a House majority. Previous Democratic House majorities featured a fair number of seats from conservative districts, but those kinds of Democrats are all but extinct now.Ain't it the truth?
It may take an unpopular GOP president running in a midterm—a 2006-style scenario—for the Democrats to have their next real chance to take the House, although Democrats hope a different presidential candidate (Hillary Clinton?) will improve their chances in Appalachia and the South. Spoiler alert: She probably won’t. Those culturally conservative areas have been trending away from Democrats and seem unlikely to snap back.
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Friday, November 7, 2014
Yup, It Was a Wave
From Larry Sabato, et al., at Politico:
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