Check the photos, at Weasel Zippers, "Romney Draws Massive 15,000 Crowd In Florida…"
Sunday, October 28, 2012
Saturday, October 27, 2012
Catarina Migliorini, Smokin' 20-Year-Old Brazilian Hottie, Sells Her Virginity for $780,000 on the Internet
I just saw this at Instapundit, "21ST CENTURY RELATIONSHIPS: 8 Women Who Auctioned Off Their Virginity."
And that reminds me, from earlier this week at London's Daily Mail, "Brazilian student, 20, agrees to sell her virginity for $780,000 after putting it up for auction online."
And that reminds me, from earlier this week at London's Daily Mail, "Brazilian student, 20, agrees to sell her virginity for $780,000 after putting it up for auction online."
Labels:
Babe Blogging,
News,
Popular Culture,
Women
Des Moines Register Endorses Romney
With Iowa shaping up as a battleground state, this could be a big and consequential endorsement.
See, "The Register endorsement: Mitt Romney offers a fresh economic vision" (the paper's first GOP endorsement since Nixon, via Glenn Reynolds):
BONUS: At The Other McCain, "STORM CANCELS ROMNEY VIRGINIA EVENTS; OHIO, HERE WE COME UPDATE: BOOM! Mitt Romney Endorsed by Des Moines Register."
See, "The Register endorsement: Mitt Romney offers a fresh economic vision" (the paper's first GOP endorsement since Nixon, via Glenn Reynolds):
American voters are deeply divided about this race. The Register’s editorial board, as it should, had a vigorous debate over this endorsement. Our discussion repeatedly circled back to the nation’s single most important challenge: pulling the economy out of the doldrums, getting more Americans back in the workforce in meaningful jobs with promising futures, and getting the federal government on a track to balance the budget in a bipartisan manner that the country demands.Read it all, at the link.
Which candidate could forge the compromises in Congress to achieve these goals? When the question is framed in those terms, Mitt Romney emerges the stronger candidate.
The former governor and business executive has a strong record of achievement in both the private and the public sectors. He was an accomplished governor in a liberal state. He founded and ran a successful business that turned around failing companies. He successfully managed the 2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City.
Romney has made rebuilding the economy his No. 1 campaign priority — and rightly so.
he nation has struggled to recover from recession for the past 40 months. Still, the economy is growing at an unacceptably anemic rate of around 2 percent a year and could slip back into recession depending on what happens in the European Union and China.
The workforce is still 4.5 million jobs short of the nearly 9 million that were lost in the recession. Longer term, looming deficits driven by Social Security and Medicare pose the single greatest threats to the nation’s economic security.
The president’s best efforts to resuscitate the stumbling economy have fallen short. Nothing indicates it would change with a second term in the White House....
Consumers must feel more confident about their own economic futures to begin spending on the products and services that power the economy. A renewed sense of confidence will spark renewed investment by American companies. Industry will return to full production and hiring will begin again.
That should come with Mitt Romney in the White House.
There is not a lot of difference between the two candidates’ short-term economic plans, as both are heavy on a promise of tax cuts for the middle class but short on details. Romney’s plan, however, goes beyond helping the middle class with tax breaks.
Throughout the campaign, he has expressed faith in the private sector to fuel a more robust economic recovery if it has more confidence that the federal government will not be an obstacle. Romney has a strategy for job growth through tax and regulatory relief for small businesses, encouraging all forms of domestic energy production, education that prepares graduates with job skills, expanding foreign trade and reducing the burden of federal deficits.
That formula, coupled with his business acumen, should unlock this nation’s economic potential.
BONUS: At The Other McCain, "STORM CANCELS ROMNEY VIRGINIA EVENTS; OHIO, HERE WE COME UPDATE: BOOM! Mitt Romney Endorsed by Des Moines Register."
Labels:
Economics,
Election 2012,
Mass Media,
Mitt Romney,
Moral Clarity,
News,
Politics
Todd Akin Could Win Missouri Senate Race
Months ago, when the "legitimate rape" scandal broke, no one in their right mind thought Rep. Todd Akin had a chance. Well, there were some folks, some very solid and prophetic folks --- like Dana Loesch --- who refused to throw Akin under the bus. But for the most part people couldn't run away fast enough, and that included the Republican Party's funding operations in D.C. My how things have changed --- and my how wise it looks today for Akin to have stood his ground, apologized and clarified his remarks, and plowed ahead with his campaign.
Check out the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, "Todd Akin draws closer to Claire McCaskill in Missouri Senate poll" (via Memeorandum):
Check out the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, "Todd Akin draws closer to Claire McCaskill in Missouri Senate poll" (via Memeorandum):
Congressman Todd Akin has dramatically narrowed the lead of Sen. Claire McCaskill in Missouri’s nationally watched Senate race, according to a new poll.Akin's hammering McCaskill on corruption and hypocrisy. See the Columbia Daily Tribune, "Akin accuses McCaskill of profiting from husband’s deals":
But the poll — commissioned by the Post-Dispatch, News 4 and the Kansas City Star — also indicates that Akin’s “legitimate rape” comment in August continues to affect the race. McCaskill still enjoys a significant gender gap, and three-quarters of her supporters call Akin’s comment “somewhat” or “very” important to their decision.
The results show McCaskill leading with 45 percentage points to Akin’s 43 points among likely voters. That’s within the poll’s 4-point margin for error, indicating a closer race than two earlier independent polls that showed McCaskill with wider leads.
An ad from Republican Todd Akin calling U.S. Sen. Claire McCaskill "Corrupt Claire" because of federal subsidies of low-income housing owned in part by her husband is "ludicrous, insulting and hurtful," she said.See also the Daily Beast, "Todd Akin: Lazarus Rises in Missouri."
Akin, a six-term St. Louis congressman, is seeking to deny McCaskill, a Democrat, a second term in the Senate. His attack ad, which began running earlier this week, accuses McCaskill of playing "a corrupt Washington game" that sends money to her husband Joe Shepard's businesses.
"McCaskill's family pocketed $40 million in federal subsidies," the ad asserts. The claim is based on an Associated Press report that low-income housing projects owned in part by Shepard received $39 million in rent subsidies from 2007 to 2011. The subsidies cover the difference between rents collected and the cost of operating the apartments.
Labels:
Congress,
Corruption,
Democrats,
Election 2012,
Mass Media,
Progressives,
Republican Party,
Scandal,
Values
Nate Silver: Voice of the New Castrati
I'll be honest: I wasn't planning a series chronicling the foibles of wonder boy Nate Silver --- and I especially wasn't planning a suicide watch for left's "Grand Swami" of progressive prognostication --- but the geek keeps garnering media attention, so what the heck? Somebody's gotta do it. Thus, keeping with the theme, here's an essay from Robert Chambers, "The far left turns to Nate Silver for wisdom on the polls" (via Memeorandum):
Of course being so smart, progressives take it upon themselves to tell people how to run their lives. You NEED government. And if you say you don't NEED government, the left will make you an offer you can't refuse. You NEED government, or else!
F-king assholes.
PREVIOUSLY:
* "If Bias Doesn't Matter Why Would Bill Maher Host Nate Silver on 'Real Time'?"
* "Oh My! Romney Back Up to 51 Percent in Gallup's Daily Tracking — Nate Silver Hardest Hit!"
* "'Grand Swami' Nate Silver Boosts O's Chances to 71.0% in Electoral College!"
* "Obama Crashing in Ohio; or, For the Love of Mercy, Leave Nate Silver Alone!"
* "Nate Silver Calls It: Advantage Obama!"
* "Nate Silver's Flawed Model."
* "Boom! Romney Back Up 52-45 in Gallup's Daily Tracking of Likely Voters."
* "ABC News Touts Nate Silver's Prediction That Obama's Handicapped at 68 Percent Chance to Win!"
* "'It's becoming increasingly obvious that Silver can't be taken seriously...'"
* "Nate Silver Blows Gasket as Gallup Shows Romney Pulling Away in the Presidential Horse Race."
More later...
Nate Silver is a man of very small stature, a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice that sounds almost exactly like the “Mr. New Castrati” voice used by Rush Limbaugh on his program. In fact, Silver could easily be the poster child for the New Castrati in both image and sound. Nate Silver, like most liberal and leftist celebrities and favorites, might be of average intelligence but is surely not the genius he's made out to be. His political analyses are average at best and his projections, at least this year, are extremely biased in favor of the Democrats.Folks can read the whole thing, but that "New Castrati" part's a riot. Turns out this freaked the idiot sock-puppet Paul Campos --- the clueless f-ck outed last year, effortlessly outed, as "Scam Prof" --- at Lawyers, Guns and Money, "Right-wing psychosexual obsessions, Nate Silver edition." The comments are a self-parody bonanza, for example:
I have never seen people so insecure in their own masculinity as conservatives (which is what this kind of attack reveals). This column is a stupid person’s idea of what a smart response looks like. Have to say that even if he were right about Silver only being of average intelligence (the evidence strongly indicates well above that), it puts him light years ahead of most conservatives, who can only aspire to such intellectual heights.Right.
Of course being so smart, progressives take it upon themselves to tell people how to run their lives. You NEED government. And if you say you don't NEED government, the left will make you an offer you can't refuse. You NEED government, or else!
F-king assholes.
PREVIOUSLY:
* "If Bias Doesn't Matter Why Would Bill Maher Host Nate Silver on 'Real Time'?"
* "Oh My! Romney Back Up to 51 Percent in Gallup's Daily Tracking — Nate Silver Hardest Hit!"
* "'Grand Swami' Nate Silver Boosts O's Chances to 71.0% in Electoral College!"
* "Obama Crashing in Ohio; or, For the Love of Mercy, Leave Nate Silver Alone!"
* "Nate Silver Calls It: Advantage Obama!"
* "Nate Silver's Flawed Model."
* "Boom! Romney Back Up 52-45 in Gallup's Daily Tracking of Likely Voters."
* "ABC News Touts Nate Silver's Prediction That Obama's Handicapped at 68 Percent Chance to Win!"
* "'It's becoming increasingly obvious that Silver can't be taken seriously...'"
* "Nate Silver Blows Gasket as Gallup Shows Romney Pulling Away in the Presidential Horse Race."
More later...
'Deranged' Nanny Stabs to Death Two Kids of CNBC Media Executive in New York
Here's the report from yesterday at the New York Daily News, "Deranged nanny allegedly kills two children of CNBC media executive Kevin Krim and wife Marina; Kids, 2 and 6, are found by mom in bathtub at luxury upper West Side apartment building: NYPD."
On cue, the New York Times provides the sympathetic victim's treatment of the suspect, Yoselyn Ortega, "Life Was in Chaos for Nanny Accused of Killing 2 Children." Life is hard. Go ahead and take it out on the children you were hired to protect. Call it the revenge of the 99 percent.
But see London's daily Mail, thank goodness, "Brave six-year-old girl tried to fight off killer nanny: Tragic last moments of the children stabbed to death by carer in New York apartment":
On cue, the New York Times provides the sympathetic victim's treatment of the suspect, Yoselyn Ortega, "Life Was in Chaos for Nanny Accused of Killing 2 Children." Life is hard. Go ahead and take it out on the children you were hired to protect. Call it the revenge of the 99 percent.
But see London's daily Mail, thank goodness, "Brave six-year-old girl tried to fight off killer nanny: Tragic last moments of the children stabbed to death by carer in New York apartment":
Brave six-year-old Lucia Krim tried to fight off her crazed nanny as the woman allegedly stabbed her and her brother Leo, 2, repeatedly with two kitchen knives before leaving their small bodies covered in blood in the bathtub for their mother to find.A Dominican immigrant, and so depraved. God help the Krim family. Nothing should ever befall a family like that.
As shocking new details emerge, neighbours have revealed that Yoselyn Ortega, 50, was visibly unravelling before the heinous slayings in the Upper West Side apartment on Thursday night and appeared to have 'aged seven years in a few months.'
Beautiful Lucia, who had been playing in the elevator moments before the horrifying slaying, suffered defensive wounds as she attempted to fend off the woman who her parents paid to protect her and her siblings.
She was eventually stabbed multiple times in the stomach and the neck while little Leo suffered two punctures to the neck, a law enforcement source told The New York Post.
'They both suffered. They bled out,' the source said, adding that Ortega used two kitchen knives in the alleged attack. 'The little girl tried to protect herself.'
Labels:
Crime,
Immigration,
Moral Bankruptcy,
New York,
News,
Progressives,
Radical Left,
Social Breakdown
'Obama, the self-proclaimed uniter turned out to be the great divider. So much for hope and change...'
And awesome takedown, from Jake Durbin, Henderson, Kentucky, at The Gleaner, "Letter: Obama's put America on road to economic collapse":
And ICYMI, "Romney Seeks Virginia Coal Country Edge."
Obama, the self-proclaimed uniter turned out to be the great divider. So much for hope and change. The change America desperately needs now is a new president and real leadership before it is too late. Wake up, America.RTWT.
And ICYMI, "Romney Seeks Virginia Coal Country Edge."
Romney Seeks Virginia Coal Country Edge
RCP's polling average has Romney up 1.2 percent over Obama, so I guess it's still a toss-up state.
And here's more at the New York Times, "In Virginia, Romney Scours Coal Country for Edge Over Obama":
When Jay Swiney emerges from the night shift in the coal mines to assume his duties as mayor of Appalachia, Va., it is hard for him to miss the partisan forces rocking the heavily unionized Democratic hamlets in the mountains along the Tennessee border.
RELATED: "Obama's Promise the Bankrupt the Coal Industry."
And here's more at the New York Times, "In Virginia, Romney Scours Coal Country for Edge Over Obama":
I love that, "America or Obama." How true. How true.
Billboards proclaim “America or Obama — You Can’t Have Them Both!” and “Yes, Coal; No-bama.” Out-of-work miners are sporting baseball caps that say “Coal=Jobs” and T-shirts with the sarcastic message: “Make Coal Legal.” Yard signs and TV ads for Mitt Romney are everywhere.
Mr. Romney’s campaign is aggressively tapping into anger at President Obama’s environmental policies throughout the Appalachian counties where the state’s coal miners live, hoping that huge margins there will offset Mr. Obama’s equally aggressive campaign to woo female voters in the suburbs of Northern Virginia, just outside Washington.
The battle playing out in Virginia has echoes across the battleground states, where the final days of the presidential campaign have become a test of geographical strategies and an all-important focus on motivation, intensity and turnout. Republicans are pushing hard in suburban Denver and central Florida to appeal to Hispanic small business owners. Mr. Obama’s campaign is probing for white male voters around Toledo, where there are major auto plants that benefited from the auto bailout.
In Virginia, Republicans hope to keep the race razor-close in other parts of the state. If they do, aides believe Mr. Romney’s appeal in the sparsely populated coal country could tip Virginia’s 13 electoral votes into his column, a victory vital to his White House bid. With just 10 days left, few self-described hillbillies in southwest Virginia are undecided.
“I definitely will vote for Romney this time,” Mr. Swiney, 43, who considered backing Mr. Obama four years ago before deciding on Senator John McCain, said in a telephone interview this week. “Not just because of the devastation that’s going on with coal now. I’m a firm believer in giving somebody a chance. We’ve given Obama a chance for the last four years.”
RELATED: "Obama's Promise the Bankrupt the Coal Industry."
If Bias Doesn't Matter Why Would Bill Maher Host Nate Silver on 'Real Time'?
The entire episode's at the clip. Barney Frank is the first featured guest, and the panel includes Chrystia Freeland, Eliot Spitzer and Michael Steele. The New York Times wonder boy is the mid-show guest. He joins the panel at 30:30. Silver tries to come off reasonable and scholarly, being sure to mention that Mitt Romney could still win (even though the 538 model now has Obama with almost a 3-1 chance of winning in the Electoral College), but mostly you're getting the same old "Real Time with Bill Maher" hateful, misogynistic attacks on conservatives, with a little polling data thrown by Silver for that all-important gloss of "mainstream" respectability.
If you don't lose your breakfast watching this, be sure check out Robert Stacy McCain's latest deconstruction of the left's "counterfactual cheerleading," "If Bias Doesn’t Matter …"
PREVIOUSLY:
* "Oh My! Romney Back Up to 51 Percent in Gallup's Daily Tracking — Nate Silver Hardest Hit!"
* "'Grand Swami' Nate Silver Boosts O's Chances to 71.0% in Electoral College!"
* "Obama Crashing in Ohio; or, For the Love of Mercy, Leave Nate Silver Alone!"
* "Nate Silver Calls It: Advantage Obama!"
* "Nate Silver's Flawed Model."
* "Boom! Romney Back Up 52-45 in Gallup's Daily Tracking of Likely Voters."
* "ABC News Touts Nate Silver's Prediction That Obama's Handicapped at 68 Percent Chance to Win!"
* "'It's becoming increasingly obvious that Silver can't be taken seriously...'"
* "Nate Silver Blows Gasket as Gallup Shows Romney Pulling Away in the Presidential Horse Race."
More later...
If you don't lose your breakfast watching this, be sure check out Robert Stacy McCain's latest deconstruction of the left's "counterfactual cheerleading," "If Bias Doesn’t Matter …"
[VIDEO PULLED]
. . . why is Dan Hodges cheering Nate Silver for “singlehandedly dismantling the myth of Mitt-mentum”? That is to say, if the reporting of poll data doesn’t influence voters one way or the other — if there is no bandwagon psychology effect created by such media narratives – then what does it matter whether journalists believe one candidate or another is winning?Continue reading.
Good luck answering that, and good luck to all the liberals who believe that counterfactual cheerleading can prevent Obama’s defeat if, in fact, we’re already on the other side of a “preference cascade.”
When Gallup showed Romney widening his lead to 5 points — and at 51 percent, just 10 days before Election Day — Donald Douglas anticipated that Nate Silver’s head would explode. But the Grand Swami will find a way to rationalize this, and the Graveyard Whistling Choir will cheerfully parrot whatever rationalization Silver provides them.
PREVIOUSLY:
* "Oh My! Romney Back Up to 51 Percent in Gallup's Daily Tracking — Nate Silver Hardest Hit!"
* "'Grand Swami' Nate Silver Boosts O's Chances to 71.0% in Electoral College!"
* "Obama Crashing in Ohio; or, For the Love of Mercy, Leave Nate Silver Alone!"
* "Nate Silver Calls It: Advantage Obama!"
* "Nate Silver's Flawed Model."
* "Boom! Romney Back Up 52-45 in Gallup's Daily Tracking of Likely Voters."
* "ABC News Touts Nate Silver's Prediction That Obama's Handicapped at 68 Percent Chance to Win!"
* "'It's becoming increasingly obvious that Silver can't be taken seriously...'"
* "Nate Silver Blows Gasket as Gallup Shows Romney Pulling Away in the Presidential Horse Race."
More later...
Yay! Hurricane Sandy May Help Democrats!
I'm not joking around about the hurricane. That's a big sucker bearing down on the East Coast. It's the progressive leftists who deserve some ridicule, all they can get, frankly.
See U.S. News and World Report, "Experts: Team Obama Should Root for Hurricane Sandy to Interrupt Election." (More at Instapundit.)
See U.S. News and World Report, "Experts: Team Obama Should Root for Hurricane Sandy to Interrupt Election." (More at Instapundit.)
Labels:
Barack Obama,
Democrats,
Election 2012,
News,
Politics,
Progressives,
Weather Blogging
John Sununu Walks Back Racial Comments on Colin Powell Obama Endorsement
It's just not a big deal. Sununu's comments were nothing more than common sense. The only thing stupid about them is that he wasn't bright enough to know that the despicable progressives would pounce on them faster than a strung out pimp on a crack pipe. Here's a clip from the leftist fool Ed Schultz on the socialist network MSNBC:
And more on the MSNBC hacks at London's Daily Mail, "'My party is full of racists': Former Colin Powell aide blasts GOP after Romney adviser says ex-Secretary of State is only supporting Obama because he's black."
And see the Washington Post, "John Sununu steps back from race observation on Colin Powell endorsement."
And more on the MSNBC hacks at London's Daily Mail, "'My party is full of racists': Former Colin Powell aide blasts GOP after Romney adviser says ex-Secretary of State is only supporting Obama because he's black."
And see the Washington Post, "John Sununu steps back from race observation on Colin Powell endorsement."
Labels:
Election 2012,
Mitt Romney,
Moral Bankruptcy,
Progressives,
Racism,
Radical Left
Inferences
From Jay Cost on Twitter.
What inferences would you draw from this picture? I draw three... twitter.com/JayCostTWS/sta…
— Jay Cost (@JayCostTWS) October 26, 2012
Labels:
Barack Obama,
Election 2012,
Mass Media,
Mitt Romney,
News,
Politics,
Public Opinion
Sex Ed in the Digital Age
My youngest is 11 years old and he's fortunately been spared any harsh accidental porn exposure, but kids as young as 8 years old are reported to have seen graphic sex on the Internet. An interesting clip:
P.S. My young son has a lot of questions, especially because he listens to a lot of hip hop, some of it with graphic language. I've been explaining things to him, but he doesn't dwell on that stuff because he's not ready for it yet, psychologically or emotional, and of course physically.
P.S. My young son has a lot of questions, especially because he listens to a lot of hip hop, some of it with graphic language. I've been explaining things to him, but he doesn't dwell on that stuff because he's not ready for it yet, psychologically or emotional, and of course physically.
'What Would You Do?'
Well, today the lady could let her boy be a princess, and tomorrow, a transvestite future with no limits!
RELATED: "Canada MPP Cheri DiNovo's F-king Depraved 'Bathroom Bill'."
That kid will be climbing over bathroom stalls in the little girls room before you know it!
RELATED: "Canada MPP Cheri DiNovo's F-king Depraved 'Bathroom Bill'."
That kid will be climbing over bathroom stalls in the little girls room before you know it!
Labels:
Homosexuality,
Mass Media,
Moral Bankruptcy,
Progressives,
Radical Left,
Socialism
Friday, October 26, 2012
Charlie Woods, Father of Ex-Navy SEAL Killed in Benghazi, Blames Obama Administration for Son's Death
At Gateway Pundit, "Father of Slain Benghazi SEAL Tyrone Woods: “They Murdered My Son” (Video)."
And from Jake Tapper, at ABC News, "President Obama Begs Off Answering Whether Americans in Benghazi Were Denied Requests for Help."
That is an amazing interview. Almost no one in the national press is doing interviews like that. Jeez, that is an amazing clip.
And remember, I don't believe the president want to bring the terrorists to justice, and the historical record supports that contention. See: "Does Obama Really Want to Bring the Benghazi Killers to Justice?"
And from Jake Tapper, at ABC News, "President Obama Begs Off Answering Whether Americans in Benghazi Were Denied Requests for Help."
In an interview with a Denver TV reporter Friday, President Obama twice refused to answer questions as to whether the Americans under siege in Benghazi, Libya on September 11, 2012, were denied requests for help, saying he’s waiting for the results of investigations before making any conclusions about what went wrong.With no luck. Watch it: "9NEWS questions President Obama on Libya attack." (Via Memeorandum.)
After being asked about possible denials of requests for aid, and whether it’s fair to tell Americans that what happened is under investigation and won’t be released until after the election, the president said, “the election has nothing to do with four brave Americans getting killed and us wanting to find out exactly what happened. These are folks who served under me who I had sent to some very dangerous places. Nobody wants to find out more what happened than I do.”
President Obama told KUSA-TV’s Kyle Clarke large that “we want to make sure we get it right, particularly because I have made a commitment to the families impacted as well as to the American people, we’re going to bring those folks to justice. So, we’re going to gather all the facts, find out exactly what happened, and make sure that it doesn’t happen again but we’re also going to make sure that we bring to justice those who carried out these attacks.”
Clark pressed again...
That is an amazing interview. Almost no one in the national press is doing interviews like that. Jeez, that is an amazing clip.
And remember, I don't believe the president want to bring the terrorists to justice, and the historical record supports that contention. See: "Does Obama Really Want to Bring the Benghazi Killers to Justice?"
Romney Surging With Independent Voters
At Gateway Pundit, "Mitt Romney’s Surge With Independent Voters Is ‘Sharpest Tilt’ Since Reagan’s 1984 Landslide (Video)."
And from Matt Towery, at LaGrange News, "“Dewey Defeats Truman,” Polls have fatal flaws that hidetrue Romney surge":
And if GOP enthusiasm lift's Romney's get-out-the-vote efforts over the Democrats, a lot of pro-'Bama poll watchers are in for a world of hurt. .
And from Matt Towery, at LaGrange News, "“Dewey Defeats Truman,” Polls have fatal flaws that hidetrue Romney surge":
While this topic has been covered, it is now time to put real “meat on the bones” to explain why polling in this year’s presidential contest, not just nationally but in many of the battleground states, may be off when compared to the actual results.That's pretty much it.
Looking at a vast array of polls coming out just two weeks before the presidential election, critically important states such as Florida and Ohio appear to be close and anyone’s guess as to the final result. And while some national surveys, such as Gallup, have shown Republican nominee Mitt Romney running ahead of President Obama by several points, most have the race very tight, and a few have Obama leading. Let’s examine one poll, released as a series of continuing surveys by a large television network joining with a respected national newspaper.
This particular poll, conducted Oct. 17-20, has no intended bias, since it is conducted jointly by both a Republican- and a Democrat-oriented polling firm. But read on, and you will quickly realize how the old style of polling and the way many polls “weight” raw results may be setting us up for one of the biggest polling disasters since the infamous polling blunders that led to the “Dewey Defeats Truman” headline blunder of 1948.
Consider the following, using the above-referenced survey as just an example of how many “big league” polls are conducted. Let’s look first at the questions asked of those who bother to answer the poll.
First, the poll has between 30 and 40 questions in it, depending on which questions a respondent is asked. Considering the fact that most questions take at least 30 seconds to read and some questions ask up to seven sub-questions, at bare minimum it takes 20 minutes to answer and more likely (just a guess) 30 minutes or more for some folks. So what hardworking, productive member of a family, taking care of a business, house or family, has time to spare for such an opus? Likely not the type that fits the profile of a Romney voter.
And it’s hard to imagine a modern and sane cellphone user staying on the line so long — but this poll includes 300 of them. Yeah, that fits my concept of cell users … not.
But let’s continue. This particular survey asks plenty of questions, such as whether the person answering the poll approves or disapproves of President Obama’s job performance and how they feel about both Obama and Romney.
The person responding to the poll has not only been trapped into opining on President Obama’s job approval, but their general “feelings” about the candidates. Now the “jury” is locked in by seemingly leading questions that they likely feel they must reflect when they are finally, several questions later, asked how they would vote for president.
So by the time the one question that will be at the top of ballots nationwide is reached, so many other positions and feelings have been expressed in taking the poll that many taking it might not utter the gut response that ultimately becomes a resolute vote.
Interestingly, in this particular survey, people seem to have much higher “positive or somewhat positive” feelings for the Democratic Party than the Republican Party. But later when they are asked which political party they would like to see control Congress, the split is nearly even.
Toward the end of the survey, we see that the percentage of individuals who identify themselves as “Strong Democrat” or “Strong Republican” is relatively low. More say they lean one direction or another or are independent and either lean toward one of the two parties or are just plain independent.
Many surveys being conducted not just nationally but in battleground states are weighted with a larger percentage of Democrat identified responses than Republican. And many, if not most, underrepresent the percent of voters who say they are independent.
And if GOP enthusiasm lift's Romney's get-out-the-vote efforts over the Democrats, a lot of pro-'Bama poll watchers are in for a world of hurt. .
Canada MPP Cheri DiNovo's F-king Depraved 'Bathroom Bill '
This is the "Radical Reverend" Dr. Cheri DiNovo, "A progressive, social justice-oriented minister who favours inclusion of marginalized groups, including women, LGBT people and the poor and homeless into the mainstream of Christian life," according to Wikipedia. In other words, a f-king depraved far left-wing social justice scumbag. Blazing Cat Fur reports, "NDP Harpie Cheri DiNovo Says You're a H8R If You Don't Like the Idea of Trannies Sharing a Washroom With Your Daughter."
And at LifeSite News, "NDP threatens Family Coalition Party with legal action for 'hate literature' mail drop":
And at LifeSite News, "NDP threatens Family Coalition Party with legal action for 'hate literature' mail drop":
TORONTO, October 26, 2012, (LifeSiteNews.com) – An MPP who sponsored what critics call the “bathroom bill” was irked by a mail drop in her riding last Saturday that questioned her leadership and called for a repeal of the bill.Keep your children close. This is what progressivism is all about. "Inclusion" and "tolerance," and if you don't like it you're a "hater." Just disagreeing with these f-ckers is likely to bring criminal charges, in those countries that allow hate crimes prosecutions. One more chapter in the history of the radical left's destruction of human decency and basic security for our loved ones.
NDP Member of Provincial Parliament Cheri DiNovo has demanded (http://ondpcaucus.com/en/dinovo-demands-apology-for-hate-literature/) an apology from the Family Coalition Party of Ontario and has threatened them with legal action for what she called a “transphobic and hateful piece of literature”.
The brochure features a picture of a stick-figure man peering over a wall at a stick-figure little girl in pigtails with the words “Repeal the Bathroom Bill”.
Two dozen people handed out about 2,500 brochures on Bloor West in DiNovo’s riding of Parkdale-High Park.
The brochure states that “DiNovo’s new ‘Bathroom Bill’ will give men who dress like women access to girl’s washrooms, public, showers, and pool changerooms.”
“Maybe it’s time to ask her…Cheri, What were you thinking?”
Bill 33, an Act that amended the province’s Human Rights Code to make “gender identity” and “gender expression” prohibited grounds for discrimination, passed in June.
DiNovo said at the time that the bill would “create a whole new environment in Ontario”.
Critics pointed out however that the bill would create a legal right for a man who calls himself ‘transgender’ to enter a public room designed exclusively for women. There he could pursue sexual exploitation opportunities at his convenience.
Blockbuster Report Contradicts Panetta's Claim of 'No Real-Time Intel' During Libya Attack
At Big Peace:
CARTOON CREDIT: NetRight Daily.
A blockbuster report just released from Fox News proves that Barack Obama has failed in his primary responsibility: Protecting the lives of the American people. According to Fox News' Jennifer Griffin, on three occasions during the seven-hour September 11th anniversary attack on our Libyan consulate that resulted in the murder of four Americans, U.S. officials refused to send reinforcements that most certainly could've arrived in time to make a difference.Here's the report at Fox News, "EXCLUSIVE: CIA operators were denied request for help during Benghazi attack, sources say" (via Memeorandum).
This new report is not only horrifying in the details, but it also seems to contradict what we were told by Leon Panetta. Yesterday, the Defense Secretary said he ruled out sending help into Benghazi based on a lack of real-time intelligence.
CARTOON CREDIT: NetRight Daily.
Oh My! Romney Back Up to 51 Percent in Gallup's Daily Tracking — Nate Silver Hardest Hit!
And that's among likely voters.
Gallup had the race tightening, with Romney holding a three-point edge yesterday, 50-47, but he's opening it back up. I think Nate Silver's head's about to explode.
See: "Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney - Among likely voters."
And check NewsBusters, "Hi, Ho, Nate Silver: NYT's Star Poll Analyst Bolsters Fading Democratic Spirits Once Again."
BONUS: At Rasmussen, "Election 2012: Wisconsin President - Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49%," and "Wisconsin May Be the New Ohio."
PREVIOUSLY:
* "'Grand Swami' Nate Silver Boosts O's Chances to 71.0% in Electoral College!"
* "Obama Crashing in Ohio; or, For the Love of Mercy, Leave Nate Silver Alone!"
* "Nate Silver Calls It: Advantage Obama!"
* "Nate Silver's Flawed Model."
* "Boom! Romney Back Up 52-45 in Gallup's Daily Tracking of Likely Voters."
* "ABC News Touts Nate Silver's Prediction That Obama's Handicapped at 68 Percent Chance to Win!"
* "'It's becoming increasingly obvious that Silver can't be taken seriously...'"
* "Nate Silver Blows Gasket as Gallup Shows Romney Pulling Away in the Presidential Horse Race."
More later...
Gallup had the race tightening, with Romney holding a three-point edge yesterday, 50-47, but he's opening it back up. I think Nate Silver's head's about to explode.
See: "Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney - Among likely voters."
And check NewsBusters, "Hi, Ho, Nate Silver: NYT's Star Poll Analyst Bolsters Fading Democratic Spirits Once Again."
BONUS: At Rasmussen, "Election 2012: Wisconsin President - Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49%," and "Wisconsin May Be the New Ohio."
PREVIOUSLY:
* "'Grand Swami' Nate Silver Boosts O's Chances to 71.0% in Electoral College!"
* "Obama Crashing in Ohio; or, For the Love of Mercy, Leave Nate Silver Alone!"
* "Nate Silver Calls It: Advantage Obama!"
* "Nate Silver's Flawed Model."
* "Boom! Romney Back Up 52-45 in Gallup's Daily Tracking of Likely Voters."
* "ABC News Touts Nate Silver's Prediction That Obama's Handicapped at 68 Percent Chance to Win!"
* "'It's becoming increasingly obvious that Silver can't be taken seriously...'"
* "Nate Silver Blows Gasket as Gallup Shows Romney Pulling Away in the Presidential Horse Race."
More later...
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