Wednesday, August 12, 2015

Wham!! New Echelon Insights Poll Has Donald Trump at 29 Percent, Soaring Over GOP Field!

I don't like online polling. There's been a huge debate among political scientists over the validity and efficacy of the new online surveys.

I don't like them, and my distrust of online surveys was confirmed by the massive cluster of YouGov's polling of the British general election, which badly failed to predict the decisive victory for the Conservatives.

I like Kristen Soltis Anderson, however. She's got a must-read new book out, The Selfie Vote: Where Millennials Are Leading America (And How Republicans Can Keep Up). She's smart and not prone to ridiculous spin.

So that makes this worth a look, at Hot Air, "Echelon Insights post-debate poll: Trump 29, Carson 10, Fiorina 9, Rubio 9, Bush 9."

Holy survey 'splosion Batman!

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Alternate headline: “Blogger to start gaming out President Trump’s possible VP nominees.”

On the one hand, as noted by my pal Karl, this poll was conducted using Google Consumer Surveys. If you’re wary of online polls, especially ones like this that attempt to “infer” important demographic data about respondents based on their browsing history and IP, then discount these results accordingly. On the other hand, Echelon Insights is operated by Kristen Soltis Anderson and Patrick Ruffini, two of the right’s brighter lights in political data crunching. They wouldn’t have published this poll if they didn’t have good statistical reasons to think it’s accurate, I’m sure.

Pop the champagne, Trump fans. And make sure it’s only the finest champagne. The classiest...
Keep reading.

And go straight to the survey, "New Poll: Trump Leads Post-Debate; Fiorina, Rubio, Carson, and Cruz Rise."


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