Thursday, April 7, 2016

Monmouth University Poll Shows Donald Trump with Yuge! Lead in New York (VIDEO)

At NYT, "Donald Trump Maintains Strong Lead in Latest New York Poll."

And at WSJ, "Poll Shows Donald Trump Above 50% in New York State":

More than half of the likely Republican primary voters in New York favor Donald Trump, according to a new Monmouth University poll, potentially allowing the celebrity businessman to sweep the state’s 95 delegates on April 19.

Mr. Trump won 52% support in the poll, while Ohio Gov. John Kasich got 25% and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz got 17%.

“If this result holds in every single congressional district, Trump will walk away with nearly all of New York state’s delegates,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

The poll concludes that about one-third of the state’s GOP vote will come from the 16 congressional districts encompassing New York City and Long Island, though this populated region will produce most of the state’s 95 delegates. Any candidate who wins more than 50% in any district wins all three delegates, forcing Mr. Trump’s challengers to micro-target areas where they might be able to hold his support below a majority.

Most New York Republicans said they were not influenced by Mr. Trump’s recent statements that he favored punishing women who have abortions and allowing Japan and South Korea to make nuclear weapons. But 29% said those controversial statements make them less likely to support him...