Generally speaking, the better-known candidates tend to fare best in early tests of support for presidential nominations. That helps explain why 2008 presidential candidates Romney and Huckabee, 2008 vice presidential nominee Palin, and former House Speaker Gingrich currently generate more support for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination than those who have not previously run for national office or held a high position in national government, such as Tim Pawlenty or Haley Barbour.
Historically, Republicans have generally nominated the early front-runner as the party's presidential candidate. The notable exception came in the last presidential election, when Rudy Giuliani led in most of the early nomination polls but had several poor early primary or caucus showings before withdrawing from the race.
Commentary and analysis on American politics, culture, and national identity, U.S. foreign policy and international relations, and the state of education - from a neoconservative perspective! - Keeping an eye on the communist-left so you don't have to!
Friday, October 1, 2010
Romney, Palin at Front of GOP Presidential Field
At Gallup. Romney's at 19 percent. Palin at 16 percent. Huckabee at 12 and Gingrich at 9:
I think history would be different if we had Rudy as a choice in 08. To be honest, I think Newt is the most qualified person we have but there a lot of people who will not vote for him, hence he will never be president.
ReplyDeleteI think the the striking resemblence between RomneyCare (in Taxachussetts) and ObamaCare puts a damper on Mitt's chances. If we're the party that's against government medicine, we can't get behind a dude that made that his signature piece of legislation while he was governor.
ReplyDeleteObama's out, no question. The GOP has a good chance at winning the Presidency, but there's so much animosity between socialists and conservatives, that if the GOP doesn't get someone really exceptional in the White House, I could foresee the country being split in half... much like the Civil War.
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