Sunday, November 26, 2017

Raica Oliveira Keeping Things Simple (VIDEO)

At Sports Illustrated Swimsuit:



Nancy Pelosi Defends John Conyers on Meet the Press (VIDEO)

Folks were tweeting about this like crazy.



Cyber Monday is Going to be Yuge!

Lol.

Online shopping has really taken off. I love it, heh.

At USA Today:



Stephen Kotkin, Stalin

*BUMPED.*

At Amazon, Stephen Kotkin, Stalin: Waiting for Hitler, 1929-1941.



Radicalism on the Rise in American Politics

From Joel Kotkin, at the Orange County Register:
The Republican Party’s road to the 2018 mid-terms looks increasingly like Pickett’s Charge, the Confederate assault on fixed Union positions that marked the high-water mark for the southern cause. After achieving its greatest domination of elective office in 80 years, the GOP seems likely to get slaughtered.

As at Gettysburg, bad generalship, an unpopular, clumsy Donald Trump, constitutes one cause for the imminent Republican decline. But the officer corps is also failing, as the congressional delegation seems determined to screw its middle class base in favor the remnant of those corporate plutocrats who finance their campaigns and the Goldman Sachs crowd to whom Trump has outsourced his economic policy. Steve Bannon’s support for demagogues like Roy Moore can only further weaken the party’s appeal, rapidly turning much of the business community, out of sheer embarrassment, into de facto Democrats.

Only one thing can save the Republicans from themselves: the Democrats. Although they have shown remarkable unity as part of the anti-Trump resistance, the Democrats themselves suffer deep-seated divisions. Most critically they are moving left at a time when more voters seek something more in the middle. Certainly this progressive tilt has done little to reverse their own declining popularity; public approval of the party has sunk to the lowest levels in a quarter century.

The rise of the radical base

“Who the goods wish to destroy, they first drive mad.” Today this old Greek adage seems particularly applicable to the Democrats. In the past the party produced leaders, and endorsed positions, that appealed across a broad swath of the population. With the Republicans forced to defend Trump, and ally with the marginalized far-right, a more centrist approach seems almost guaranteed to create success, as we saw recently in the Virginia elections.

But, sadly, the much heralded “resistance” to Trump has radicalized the party’s grassroots, giving enhanced power to militant groups like Black Lives Matter, as well as the most extreme green and gender fundamentalists. Clustered increasingly in large urban centers, Democrats are moving more quickly to progressive extremes than the GOP is shifting to the right; the percentage of Democratic voters tilting left since 1994 has grown from 30 percent to 73 percent. Moderates in the party, argues Wall Street investor Steven Ratner, face a “freight train coming at us from the left.”

The centrist approach used in Virginia should show the way, and succeeded largely by winning moderate voters from the affluent D.C. suburbs. But in California or New York rank and file, suburban Democrats have little voice against the organized and strident habitués of the core cities. The various cultural imperatives of the media, the universities, the progressive non-profit and well-funded community groups wash out all other voices.

Positions that threaten a Democratic resurgence

Three critical positions threaten a national Democratic resurgence. The first, and the most divisive, is immigration policy. Most Americans do not embrace the xenophobia of the Trump base, but they also do not favor such things as sanctuary cities, even here in California. They are not likely to celebrate immigrant law-breaking as does state Senate Leader Kevin de León, now challenging the more centrist Sen. Dianne Feinstein’s bid for re-election.

The second vulnerability revolves around a strong move to a single-payer federal system, a position endorsed by increasingly powerful groups like the Democratic Socialists of America and New York’s Working Families Party. To be sure, this may be more attractive to most Americans than GOP attempts to scuttle the current Obamacare system, but it would require a massive tax increase that would alienate moderate, middle-income voters. A plan to impose this system on California was deemed so expensive — essentially more than doubling the state budget — that Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon had to table it to the chagrin of the progressive lobby.

The third, and perhaps most critical, policy area relates more broadly to culture. Just as the antediluvian stances of a Roy Moore may make middle-of-the-road voters gag, many Americans also would have a hard time embracing such things as reparations, race and gender quotas, transgender issues, campus speech codes and even football protests celebrated by progressives. This aversion to identity politics appears particularly true for the middle American voters who swung in 2016 to Trump and the GOP.
We live in interesting times, that's for sure.

Still more.


Saturday, November 25, 2017

Patrick Rothfuss, The Wise Man's Fear

More of the best fantasy, at Amazon, Patrick Rothfuss, The Wise Man's Fear.



Black Friday Mayhem

Following-up, "Black Friday Crowds Not So Bad, As Online Shopping Attracts More Holiday Consumers."

Turns out there was some of the usual mayhem this year, although not as bad as in the past. People still getting crazy out there.

At London's Daily Mail:




Black Friday Crowds Not So Bad, As Online Shopping Attracts More Holiday Consumers

Well, I picked up my toaster yesterday, and the line was around the store at my local Kohl's (below). Turns out that was mostly shoppers hunting down the "doorbuster" deals. I went back a little later and it wasn't so bad.

In any case, at LAT, "Black Friday mayhem may be a thing of the past":

Chae Woong Bae and his girlfriend had steeled themselves to brave the Black Friday shopping chaos they’d watched on TV back home in South Korea.

But when the pair arrived at 4:30 a.m. Friday at a Target in North Hollywood for their first Black Friday outing, they were the only ones in line. No one else joined the queue for an hour, ahead of the store's opening at 6 a.m.

"On the TV, we see people fighting each other, so at first, we were a little scared to come today," said a disappointed Bae, 22. "I didn't expect it to be so quiet."

Once known for frenzied crowds that jostled for deals in packed stores, Black Friday in Southern California has become a more subdued scene. The rise of e-commerce has made savings available to anyone, anywhere — at any time.

To compete with online sellers, and each other, brick-and-mortar retailers have pushed discounts days and even weeks before the day once considered the critical barometer of the holiday shopping season.

The result: Consumers said stores and malls were less packed and more relaxed. It was a welcome change for some.

"If I had walked in and there was a massive crowd, I would have walked right out," said Amanda Solomon, 25, as she shopped with her mother at the Macy's at Westfield Century City mall.

"It wouldn't be worth the savings," her mother, Irene Castaldo, 63, chimed in.

National retail chains that open on Thanksgiving have largely moved doorbuster deals to Thursday night, making Black Friday a calmer shopping experience.

To get the same type of crowd "you've got to have the same type of early-bird specials on Friday as Thursday," said Britt Beemer, chairman and founder of America's Research Group, who has tracked holiday sales trends for 30 years. "And nobody does that."

Though stores may not seem as busy on Black Friday as in years past, analysts expect holiday retail sales to jump in 2017, a result of higher consumer confidence and gains in employment and disposable income.

The National Retail Federation predicts that retail sales in November and December could total between $678.75 billion and $682 billion, up from $655.8 billion last year.


Meghan O'Sullivan, Windfall

This looks awesome!

At Amazon, Meghan O'Sullivan, Windfall: How the New Energy Abundance Upends Global Politics and Strengthens America’s Power.



Robert Jordan, Wheel of Time, Boxed Set

Great for under the Christmas tree.

At Amazon, Robert Jordan, "The Wheel of Time," Boxed Set I, Books 1-3: The Eye of the World, The Great Hunt, The Dragon Reborn.

Also, "The Wheel of Time," Boxed Set II, Books 4-6: The Shadow Rising, The Fires of Heaven, Lord of Chaos.

Friday, November 24, 2017

Jennifer Delacruz's Cyber Saturday Forecast

It's the big shopping weekend --- tomorrow's "Cyber Saturday." I'll be hanging out, working on my car, shopping for books and stuff, and otherwise dawdling around.

More later.

Here's the lovely Ms. Jennifer, for ABC News 10 San Diego:



Shop Best Deals

In Electronics and Accessories, at Amazon.

Also, Shop Home and Office Printers.

More, Videos and Electronics.

And, GPS and Navigation Systems.

Still more, Deals on Televisions.

Here, Black Friday Deals.

Plus, Shop Selection of Drones.

More here, Cameras and Accessories.

And, Shop Watches.

BONUS: Jessica Bruder, Nomadland: Surviving America in the Twenty-First Century.

Black Friday Shopping

*BUMPED.*

I actually need a new toaster, lol. Mine blew out yesterday so I need to head out into the Black Friday scrum, heh. Probably going to head over to Kohl's here in a bit. Might be fun, for some shopping combat experience at least. Other than that, I'm going to buy some Christmas presents online. I hope you are too, and that's awesome if you're using my Amazon links for some of that.

Thanks again.

At Amazon, Today's Deals.

And especially, Instant Pot DUO80 8 Qt 7-in-1 Multi- Use Programmable Pressure Cooker, Slow Cooker, Rice Cooker, Steamer, Sauté, Yogurt Maker and Warmer.

Save on Robot Vacuums, and especially, ECOVACS DEEBOT N79 Robotic Vacuum Cleaner with Strong Suction, for Low-pile Carpet, Hard floor, Wi-Fi Connected.

More, BLACK+DECKER 2-Slice Toaster, Red, TR1278RM, and Hamilton Beach Brushed Stainless Steel 2-Slice Toaster (22910).

Here, Amrapur Overseas | Goose Down Alternative Microfiber Quilted Reversible Comforter / Duvet Insert - Ultra Soft Hypoallergenic Bedding - Medium Warmth for All Seasons - [Queen, Coral Blue/Oatmeal].

And, Naukay - Business Travel Backpack,Durable Slim Laptop Backpack for Women & Men,College School Computer Bag Daypack with USB charging Port,Anti Theft Water Resistant backpack for 15.6 inch Laptop and Notebook.

More here, Craftsman 230-Piece Mechanics Tool Set, 50230.

Finally, LG Electronics OLED55B6P Flat 55-Inch 4K Ultra HD Smart OLED TV (2016 Model).

BONUS: E.L. Doctorow, Billy Bathgate: A Novel.

Robert Jordan, The Great Hunt

You'll get hooked once you sink into Robert Jordan's "Eye of the World" series.

Fantastic reading.

Here's the second volume, at Amazon, Robert Jordan, The Great Hunt (The Wheel of Time, Book 2).


Joy Villa: I'm Standing for the National Anthem (VIDEO)

She's so great!

For Prager University:



Hottest Bo Krsmanovic (VIDEO)

At Sports Illustrated Swimsuit:



Oleg V. Khlevniuk, Stalin

At Amazon, Oleg V. Khlevniuk, Stalin: New Biography of a Dictator.



Laura Ingraham, Shut Up and Sing

I posted Laura Ingraham's Billionaire at the Barricades a while back.

She's been pounding the populist hammer for some time, though.

See also, at Amazon, Laura Ingraham, Shut Up and Sing: How Elites from Hollywood, Politics, and the Media are Subverting America.



Marriage and Kids vs. Dogs and Netflix

I'd like to see actually statistics on this, but if it's anywhere near majority opinion, we can be relieved that humans will die out by self-extinction over the near few generations.

My god, what is wrong with these people?

It's Lauren Southern, in the U.K.:



Hundreds Dead in Egypt Mosque Massacre (VIDEO)

Well, that's not going to be good for those Thanksgiving memories.

At the Telegraph U.K., "Egypt mosque attack: At least 235 killed as militants shoot at fleeing worshippers after detonating bomb":

Egypt was last night reeling from the bloodiest terror attack in its history after suspected Isil fighters slaughtered at least 235 people during prayers by detonating explosives inside a Sinai mosque and then killing the worshippers in a hail of gunfire.

The terrorists struck a mosque in the remote town of Bir al-Abed in northern Sinai where hundreds of people had gathered for traditional Islamic prayers on Friday afternoon.

The attack began with a powerful explosion at the al-Rawdah mosque and gunmen leapt out of four off-road vehicles to kill people as they fled. Security officials and witnesses said the attackers used their vehicles to cut off escape routes and opened fire on ambulances as they reached the scene. More than 100 were wounded.

The gunmen appear to have escaped from the scene after the massacre before Egyptian security forces could arrive.

No group immediately claimed responsibility for the attack but suspicion fell on the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant's (Isil) affiliate in the Sinai desert, which has waged a bloody insurgency against the Egyptian military and the country’s Christian minority.

The worshippers at the al-Rawdah were mainly Sufis, who adhere to a mystic form of Islam. Isil considers Sufis to be heretics and has threatened them in the past.

The town of Bir al-Abed is home to around 2,500 people, all members of the Sawarka tribe. In conservative rural areas of Egypt it is usually only men who attend Friday prayers. With an attack so large it is believed that a significant portion of all the men in the village were either killed or wounded on Friday.

Abdel Qader Mubarak, a man originally from the village, said his entire family had been killed in the slaughter. "I can't talk, all my family are gone," he told The Telegraph.

The massacre is the worst terrorist attack on civilians in modern Egyptian history, and its death toll outstripped the 224 deaths caused when suspected Isil militants blew up a Russian airliner shortly after it took off from Sharm el-Sheikh in 2015.

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, Egypt’s president, promised to respond with “brutal force” against the attackers.

“We will remain steadfast and will fight back with an iron fist. This attack will only add to our persistence on overcoming the tragedy and we will win the battle against the forces of evil,” Mr Sisi said.

"The army and police will avenge our martyrs and return security and stability with force in the coming short period.”

Despite Mr Sisi’s pledge, the security forces have struggled to contain the jihadist insurgency in Sinai and suffered heavy casualties...
More.