Donald Trump Leads National Republican Field in Latest YouGov Poll

YouGov's polls are based on non-probability sampling. They use online panels. I don't think they have a particularly great record, especially in the British parliamentary elections in March (where YouGov had Labour up by four points just days before the election).

Be that as it may, I don't doubt Donald Trump is surging.

Here, "The GOP frontrunner: Donald Trump?":

The Republican horserace continues to be a contest of multiple candidates – with frontrunners sometimes ahead by only a few points, and no one dominating the race. In this week’s Economist/YouGov Poll, businessman Donald Trump leads among Republicans, ahead of Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, Florida Senator Marco Rubio and Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker.

Trump looks even better as a candidate this week when Republicans are asked for their second choice. When they are, Trump extends his lead. One in four Republicans who are registered to vote say he is their first or second choice.

But who are these Republicans? Trump’s statements on immigration may be striking a chord. Two-thirds of those who choose Trump first or second support the goals of the Tea Party, higher than the overall percentage of Republicans who do. They are much less likely to have a college education than are other Republicans, and they are more likely than other Republicans to say they are “very” conservative.

Trump supporters may be making more of a statement than voting for someone they consider a contender. Just one in five of Trump’s supporters think Trump will win the nomination.  Only 7% of Republicans think Trump will capture the nomination: more give the edge to Bush, Paul, Rubio and Walker...

Well, let's see how it goes. Perhaps Trump will crash and burn in the presidential debates, coming off as a crass blowhard.

That said, the DNC's already running web ads bashing Trump as the face of the GOP? Well, that's telling. See, "Retrumplican Party."

Via Memeorandum.