The Democrats have a major uphill climb to a third Democrat term in the White House in 2017.
The "Rising American Electorate," another term for Obama's "coalition of the ascendant" (ethnic minorities, Millennials, and single women), have a significant lag in voter enthusiasm relative to the older, whiter electorate.
Far-left Greg Sargent, at the Washington Post, even makes note of it, "Here’s Hillary Clinton’s big 2016 challenge, in one chart."
Combine the enthusiasm gap with the intense anger and pessimism in polling data, especially among those same older, whiter voters, and we're seeing the stirrings of a major earthquake election next November. The Obama interregnum is coming to a bitter end. It's all going to come crashing down for the Democrats. I expect Hillary Clinton to be a formidable candidate, but she's not going to generate the kind of enthusiasm that Obama did. Not by a long-shot.
I'll be keeping an eye on this all the way to November 8, 2016.
Tuesday, November 10, 2015
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