Monday, August 15, 2016

Young Voters Flee Donald Trump

Well, he doesn't need to win a majority of young people, but still. He's only getting 20 percent of their support.

At USA Today:


Public Opinion on Poverty, Social Welfare, and Personal Responsibility

Opinions have changed very little since 1985, the last time thus survey was conducted.

And social welfare programs have failed to lift millions out of poverty. The number of Americans living below the poverty line is about 15 percent, and it's been stuck there since about 1970, five years after the start of the Great Society.

How much have we spent? It's in the trillions. And leftists still think we aren't doing enough. And if you look at the headline at the piece, the Times used the results to take a jab a Donald Trump's white working-class supporters. It's too predictable.

See, "How do Americans view poverty? Many blue-collar whites, key to Trump, criticize poor people as lazy and content to stay on welfare."


The Meaning of the 2016 Election

From Francis Fukuyama, at Foreign Affairs, "American Political Decay or Renewal?":
Trump’s policy pronouncements are confused and contradictory, coming as they do from a narcissistic media manipulator with no clear underlying ideology. But the common theme that has made him attractive to so many Republican primary voters is one that he shares to some extent with Sanders: an economic nationalist agenda designed to protect and restore the jobs of American workers. This explains both his opposition to immigration—not just illegal immigration but also skilled workers coming in on H1B visas—and his condemnation of American companies that move plants abroad to save on labor costs. He has criticized not only China for its currency manipulation but also friendly countries such as Japan and South Korea for undermining the United States’ manufacturing base. And of course he is dead set against further trade liberalization, such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership in Asia and the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership with Europe.

All of this sounds like total heresy to anyone who has taken a basic college-level course in trade theory, where models from the Ricardian one of comparative advantage to the Heckscher-Ohlin factor endow­ment theory tell you that free trade is a win-win for trading partners, increasing all countries’ aggregate incomes. And indeed, global output has exploded over the past two generations, as world trade and investment have been liberalized under the broad framework of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade and then the World Trade Organization, increasing fourfold between 1970 and 2008. Globalization has been responsible for lifting hundreds of millions of people out of poverty in countries such as China and India and has generated unfathomable amounts of wealth in the United States.

Yet this consensus on the benefits of economic liberalization, shared by elites in both political parties, is not immune from criticism. Built into all the existing trade models is the conclusion that trade liberalization, while boosting aggregate income, will have potentially adverse distributional consequences—it will, in other words, create winners and losers. One recent study estimated that import competition from China was responsible for the loss of between two million and 2.4 million U.S. jobs from 1999 to 2011.

The standard response from trade economists is to argue that the gains from trade are sufficient to more than adequately compensate the losers, ideally through job training that will equip them with new skills. And thus, every major piece of trade legislation has been accompanied by a host of worker-retraining measures, as well as a phasing in of new rules to allow workers time to adjust.

In practice, however, this adjustment has often failed to materialize. The U.S. government has run 47 uncoordinated federal job-retraining programs (since consolidated into about a dozen), in addition to countless state-level ones. These have collectively failed to move large numbers of workers into higher-skilled positions. This is partly a failure of implementation, but it is also a failure of concept: it is not clear what kind of training can transform a 55-year-old assembly-line worker into a computer programmer or a Web designer. Nor does standard trade theory take account of the political economy of investment. Capital has always had collective-action advantages over labor, because it is more concentrated and easier to coordinate. This was one of the early arguments in favor of trade unionism, which has been severely eroded in the United States since the 1980s. And capital’s advantages only increase with the high degree of capital mobility that has arisen in today’s globalized world. Labor has become more mobile as well, but it is far more constrained. The bargaining advantages of unions are quickly undermined by employers who can threaten to relocate not just to a right-to-work state but also to a completely different country.

Labor-cost differentials between the United States and many developing countries are so great that it is hard to imagine what sorts of policies could ultimately have protected the mass of low-skilled jobs. Perhaps not even Trump believes that shoes and shirts should still be made in America. Every industrialized nation in the world, including those that are much more committed to protecting their manufacturing bases, such as Germany and Japan, has seen a decline in the relative share of manufacturing over the past few decades. And even China itself is beginning to lose jobs to automation and to lower-cost producers in places such as Bangladesh and Vietnam.

And yet the experience of a country such as Germany suggests that the path followed by the United States was not inevitable. German business elites never sought to undermine the power of their trade unions; to this day, wages are set across the German economy through government-sponsored negotiations between employers and unions. As a result, German labor costs are about 25 percent higher than their American counterparts. And yet Germany remains the third-largest exporter in the world, and the share of manufacturing employment in Germany, although declining, has remained consistently higher than that in the United States. Unlike the French and the Italians, the Germans have not sought to protect existing jobs through a thicket of labor laws; under Chancellor Gerhard Schröder’s Agenda 2010 reforms, it became easier to lay off redundant workers. And yet the country has invested heavily in improving working-class skills through its apprenticeship program and other active labor-market interventions. The Germans also sought to protect more of the country’s supply chain from endless outsourcing, connecting its fabled Mittelstand, that is, its small and medium-size businesses, to its large employers.

In the United States, in contrast, economists and public intellectuals portrayed the shift from a manufacturing economy to a postindustrial service-based one as inevitable, even something to be welcomed and hastened. Like the buggy whip makers of old, supposedly, manufac­turing workers would retool themselves, becoming knowledge workers in a flexible, outsourced, part-time new economy, where their new skills would earn them higher wages. Despite occasional gestures, however, neither political party took the retooling agenda seriously, as the centerpiece of a necessary adjustment process, nor did they invest in social programs designed to cushion the working class as it tried to adjust. And so white workers, like African Americans in earlier decades, were on their own...
It's not just Trump who's agitating for a nationalist economic policy. The Democrats have been pushing protectionist proposals for some time, and Bernie Sanders was pretty much in sync with Donald Trump on the issues. Fukuyama broaches this, but he's a leftist, so won't give Trump any credit.

The winds of change are in the air, either way. The anti-globalist movement's just getting started, frankly.

But keep reading.

Sunday, August 14, 2016

Sunday Cartoons

At Flopping Aces, "Sunday Funnies."

Branco Cartoon photo H-N-Button-600-LI_zps6qt03ijv.jpg

Also at Theo's, "Cartoon Roundup..."

Cartoon Credit: Legal Insurrection, "Branco Cartoon – Electroshock Therapy."

This Charlie Sykes Quote Getting a Lot of Play on Twitter

I'm not at all familiar with Charlie Sykes, although he's getting kudos left and right for these comments, via Oliver Darcy:

It's interesting, although I don't think there'll be any kind of reckoning. Indeed, if Hillary wins things are just going to get worse. Conservatives are only just now catching up to the left in tweaking reality. Frankly, I don't like reality-tweaking, and I said so yesterday here, "First Woman to Medal in Six Olympics Ignored by Media Because She's Pro-Second Amendment — Except She Wasn't."

The god's honest truth is always going to come first for me. I'm not a big fan of talk radio, in any case, so I've got little at stake in this debate. Perhaps Sean Hannity and Bill O'Reilly are implicated here with their shows on Fox News, but even then I only tune in once in a while nowadays.

Things are going to hell in this country, and it's like Sarah Kendzior says: Even if Hillary wins the forces that have been unleashed during this campaign aren't going away. Where I differ with Kendzior is that I think this is a good thing. Let's break things up. We can start with blowing the current two-party system to smithereens. I just don't care anymore. If the GOP candidate is the only thing that's going to stop leftism, at least temporarily, than he'll have more support. But I don't consider myself Republican and most of the party leaders are establishment hacks who can FOAD as far as I'm concerned.

Thinking about it, this seems like a theme I'll be coming back to with some frequency as we move forward. Who knows what's going to happen in November, although I'd feel a lot better if Trump gained some traction against Hillary in the polls?

On that topic, we'll see...

Deal of the Day: Save Up to 45% on Osprey Backpacks [BUMPED]

At Amazon, Up to 45% Off on Osprey Backpacks.

More, Osprey Packs Celeste Daypack, and Osprey Comet Backpack.

Also, Save on Pogo Water Bottles.

Plus, Kindle Paperwhite E-reader - Black, 6" High-Resolution Display (300 ppi) with Built-in Light, Wi-Fi - Includes Special Offers.

Still more, Apple EarPods 827 In-Ear Stereo Headphones with Remote and Mic - White.

And, Shop Great Back to School Deals!

BONUS: From Jared Meyer, Uber-Positive: Why Americans Love the Sharing Economy.

Tessa Fowler [BUMPED]

ADDED: I might as well bump this to the top -- I forgot to link the Twitter photos previously.

Great photos on Twitter.

Last seen way back in January 2015, "Sunday Rule 5."

Another Sunday Rule 5

Again, these things take a long time to post, so Ima do a FMJRA (linking those who link back).

Chantell photo Ck4_KrdXAAA24Wh_zpsyp25ma2x.jpg
At the Rule 5 blogfather's, "Rule 5 Sunday: Gold Medal, Ahoy!"

And at Pirate's Cove, "Sorta Blogless Sunday Pinup," and "If All You See……is a world turned to desert because Other People won’t buy local, you might just be a Warmist."

More, at 90 Miles From Tyranny, "Morning Mistress (Loses Her Bikini Bottoms)."

From Ms. EBL, "Hedy Lamarr: The Heavenly Body."

Still more, at Woodsterman's, "Fun With GIFs ~OR~ Rule 5 Woodsterman Style."

And some extra related linkage, at Drunken Stepfather, "BOUNCING POKIES STEPLINKS OF THE DAY."

Egotastic, "Camille Rowe In Hot Lingerie and Other Fine Things to Ogle."

At WWTDD, "Emily Ratajkowski Takes Her Tits to the U.N. and Shit Around the Web."

And that's Chantell at the photo, seen on Twitter as well, and previously, "Well, Here's Your Saturday Afternoon Rule 5."

If I missed you, and you're linking, tweet me and I'll update.

Thanks!

"Can anyone doubt for a single moment that, were 'people' like this to gain ultimate power over us as they so fervently, insanely desire, they'd be trotting their political opposition off to gulags just as fast as they could get them constructed — just as their ideological twins in the Soviet Union, Vietnam, Cambodia, and who knows how many other places did? Just as they always have done upon their ascension to power, no matter where on Earth they might be?"

I posted Cold Fury to the sidebar, but the entry just reminded me of this video I put up here long ago, at "The Cuban Archipelago."

But read the whole thing, from our buddy Mike, "How the Left “Debates”."

No doubt.

You'd be lined up and shot, by folks just like Che and his henchman after Cuba's "national liberation."



Pat Condell: Europe's Leaders Are Importing War (VIDEO)

Angela Merkel especially, but all the poxy "leader" scabs are implicated, especially the scum of the European Union.

Once again, the inimitable Pat Condell:



Race, Gender, and the 'Carceral State' [BUMPED]

It's far-left scholarship and criticism, but nevertheless interesting.

See Gabriel Winant, at Dissent, "Black Women and the Carceral State."

And reviewed there, Talitha L. LeFlouria, Chained in Silence: Black Women and Convict Labor in the New South, and Sarah Haley, No Mercy Here: Gender, Punishment, and the Making of Jim Crow Modernity.

Remember, this idea of the "mass incarceration" state is on the cutting edge of leftist thought, and it's obviously having a dramatic and dangerous impact on public policy (President Obama recently commuted the sentences of over 200 federal inmates, and not for just "non-violent" felonies either).

And see Elizabeth Hinton, From the War on Poverty to the War on Crime: The Making of Mass Incarceration in America.

Recall also that attacks on "mass incarceration" are central to Angela Davis's communist agenda. See, Freedom Is a Constant Struggle: Ferguson, Palestine, and the Foundations of a Movement.

Know your enemies, people. You gotta know your enemies.

Review of Robert J. Gordon, The Rise and Fall of American Growth [BUMPED]

See William Nordhaus, at the New York Review of Books, "Why Growth Will Fall."

Gordon's book is on my birthday list, heh.

And at Amazon, The Rise and Fall of American Growth: The U.S. Standard of Living since the Civil War.

Nobel Peace Prize Update: Obama Bombing Another Country, and Nobody Even Noticed! (VIDEO)

It's the far-left Lori Harfenist, at the Putin-backed RT America.

But you know what? Who cares? She's nailing it here.

Watch:



Milwaukee Riots After Police Shoot and Kill Black Armed Suspect (VIDEO)

There's not a lot of news coverage of the rioting, actually.

I had on Fox News for about a half-hour, and not even a short blip of a report.

I suspect folks have gotten so used to blacks burning down cities that it's hardly news anymore. Besides, getting the news out there would destroy the left's "Black Lives Matter" narrative (and help Donald Trump).

Rioters screamed "Black Power!" as a fillin' station went up in flames.

Obama's America.

See the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, "Calm restored at scene of unrest as Clarke calls for National Guard," and "Man shot by Milwaukee police subject of witness intimidation case."

More at Twitchy, "Rioters make Milwaukee ‘like a war zone’ after police shooting of armed suspect [photos, video]."

And there's video here, at Ruptly, "USA: Angry protesters burn petrol station after police shoot and kill man in Milkwaukee."

Maggie Haberman: 'There's an Enormous Amount of Frustration' in Donald Trump's Campaign (VIDEO)

Following-up from last night, "Inside the Failing Mission to Save Donald Trump From Himself."

I know Trump attacked NYT for its pathetic left-wing bias, but honestly, d'you think there isn't "enormous frustration" in the campaign?

Maggie Haberman's a leftist, but she's also a consummate professional (IMHO), and I expect she's to not too far off the mark with what's going on.

Watch, from CNN this morning:



Saturday, August 13, 2016

Inside the Failing Mission to Save Donald Trump From Himself

According to Alexander Burns and Maggie Haberman, Trump's allegedly "beyond coaching."

Tweeted by WaPo's Jenna Johnson.


And here's Trump's response.


It's worth a read, FWIW.

I think Maggie Haberman's pretty fair, for the most part.


'Men Going Their Own Way'

Heh.

Check out this very interesting post at the Other McCain, "Attention @MGTOW: Survey Question." And be sure to read the comments. I think R.S. McCain missed his calling as a psychologist:
Scapegoating the opposite sex for our romantic disappointments is a problem for both men and women. Learning to accept responsibility for your own problems means learning how to adjust your expectations to the reality of your situation, rather than blaming other people because your dreams haven't come true.
More.

BONUS: Helen Smith, Men on Strike: Why Men Are Boycotting Marriage, Fatherhood, and the American Dream - and Why It Matters.

The Presidential Horse Race at the L.A. Times 'Daybreak' Tracking Poll

I'm not giving up hope yet, although I'm not unrealistic either.

The "daybreak" poll is just one poll.

Still, the race is basically tied:


First Woman to Medal in Six Olympics Ignored by Media Because She's Pro-Second Amendment — Except She Wasn't

I love the Gateway Pundit, but sometimes the posts over there don't match reality.

Here's the entry, "FIRST WOMAN to Medal in SIX Olympics Ignored by Media Because She is Pro-Second Amendment."

Actually, Rhode was featured very prominently at the front-page of this morning's Los Angeles Times, "L.A.'s most unsung Olympian continues to excel in her sixth Olympics."

And lots of Rhode coverage in the MSM on Twitter.

So, let's just stick to reality, okay.

There's plenty of media bias.

In the case of Kim Rhode, not so much.

ADDED: From Ed Driscoll, at Instapundit, "OLYMPIC OIKOPHOBIA: ‘Little Known’ Olympic Shooters Snubbed by Sponsors While Media Play Dumb." That's a good point about the corporate sponsors bailing out on Olympics shooters, although again, there's lots of media coverage. It's just not as sensational as fencers in hijabs, or what have you.

'Hell or High Water': Hollywood Makes a Pro-Gun Movie — Woot! (VIDEO)

From Ed Driscoll, at Instapundit, "DID HOLLYWOOD MAKE A PRO-GUN MOVIE? Hell or High Water Features Armed Citizenry."