Echelon Insights Post-Convention Poll

Remember, I expect Donald Trump to be the heavy underdog during the general election, and frankly, I've been surprised this last few weeks that Hillary's not further ahead in the presidential horse race.

In any case, via Hot Air, some overnight post-convention numbers from Echelon Insights:

Echelon-@lucid_hq *Post-Convention* poll (RV)

Clinton 40
Trump 39
Johnson 3
Stein 2
Undecided 17

Clinton 45
Trump 41
Undecided 15

N=911

— Echelon (@EchelonInsights) July 22, 2016

Among LVs, it's:

Clinton 42
Trump 41
Johnson 3
Stein 2
Undecided 12

Clinton 47
Trump 42
Undecided 11

N=740

— Echelon (@EchelonInsights) July 22, 2016

Echelon/@lucid_hq survey (RVs):

Is the Republican Party more or less unified after #RNCinCLE?

Less 34
More 33
Unsure 33

— Echelon (@EchelonInsights) July 22, 2016

Do voters approve of @tedcruz's decision not to endorse @realDonaldTrump?

Approve 40%
Disapprove 32%
Unsure 22%

— Echelon (@EchelonInsights) July 22, 2016

Some internals from our post-convention poll (LVs, 2-way).

Among Rs:

Trump 86
Clinton 5

Among Ds

Clinton 85
Trump 10

— Echelon (@EchelonInsights) July 22, 2016

Previously, "CNN's Instant Poll of Viewers Shows Donald Trump's Speech Brought Down the House."

#Munich Eyewitness Says She Heard Attacker Screaming 'Allahu Akbar! Allahu Akbar!'

Via Paul Joseph Watson:



I will say, though, that there're still conflicting reports.

So, until we have the official German government statement on the attack, I'm withholding broader comment.

Donald Trump's Gloom and Doom Doesn't Match Reality

Following-up, "President Obama Mocked GOP's 'Vision of Chaos and Violence' Moments Before Munich Attack (VIDEO)."

Heh, via Instapundit.

Nope. Doesn't match at all.

When It Comes to Islam, Western Leaders Are Liars or Idiots

Or both.

From Raymond Ibrahim, at Pajamas:

When it comes to the connection between Islam and violence against non-Muslims, one fact must be understood: the majority of those in positions of leadership and authority in the West are either liars or fools, or both.

No other alternative exists.

The reason for this uncharitable assertion is simple: If Islam was once a faraway, exotic religion, today we hear calls for, and see acts of, violence committed in its name every day. And many of us still have “ears that hear and eyes that see,” so it’s no secret: Muslims from all around the world and from all walks of life -- not just “terrorists” or “ISIS” -- unequivocally and unapologetically proclaim that Islam commands them to hate, subjugate, and kill all who resist it, including all non-Muslims.

This is the official position of several Muslim governments, including America’s closest “friends and allies” like Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

It’s the official position of Islamic institutions of lower and higher learning: from Bangladeshi high schools to Egypt’s Al Azhar, the world’s most prestigious Islamic university.

It’s the official position broadcast in numerous languages on Islamic satellite stations that air in Muslim homes around the world.

In short, there’s no excuse today for anyone to still be ignorant about Islam, and especially for those in positions of leadership or authority. Yet it is precisely this group that most vehemently denies any connection between Islam and violence.

Why?

Well, they can't talk honestly about Islam, of course.

It would destroy the narrative of peace and comity among the enlightened people of the world. "All you need is love..."

Keep reading.

Plus, flashback video, "The World's Most Dangerous Ideology."

Emily Ratajkowski Launches Amore & Sorvete Swimwear Campaign (PHOTOS)

Ms. Emily's pretty much a gift from god, and thank goodness she's got no inhibitions about her body.

She looks great!

On Twitter:

So happy to announce my campaign w/ @amoreandsorvete 🙌🏽 shop online now https://t.co/8bxE8UHsFA pic.twitter.com/KP3fF1Evnd

— Emily Ratajkowski (@emrata) July 20, 2016

Extremely excited to announce the new face of Amore & Sorvete emrata it's been a pleasure… https://t.co/b7qMEdzKry

— Amore & Sorvete (@amoreandsorvete) July 21, 2016

Bombshell emrata wearing our new Hula Hula bikini. Exclusive style available online now✌🏼️… https://t.co/vfNOXfFnsk

— Amore & Sorvete (@amoreandsorvete) July 4, 2016

President Obama Mocked GOP's 'Vision of Chaos and Violence' Moments Before Munich Attack (VIDEO)

Well, he can pretend it's not serious with jokes and mockery. He's not up for reelection. Hillary is, though, and hence it's his third term on the line.

Frankly, I was a little surprised he took to the airwaves so soon. We still don't know exactly what happened.

In any case, you gotta love the headlines at Gateway Pundit, "OBAMA Mocked Trump and RNC’s “Vision of Chaos and Violence” 1 Hour Before Munich Attack (VIDEO)."



Plus, more video at CNN, "Obama pushes back against Donald Trump's speech."

Hacked Democrat Emails Reveal Plan for Hillary Clinton Attacks on Bernie Sanders' Religion

Wow!

Bernie's Jewish!

At the Intercept, "New Leak: Top DNC Official Wanted to Use Bernie Sanders's Religious Beliefs Against Him" (via Memeorandum):

"[Sanders] had skated on saying he has a Jewish heritage," the CFO of the DNC wrote in a leaked email. https://t.co/z261ZcKrK4

— The Intercept (@theintercept) July 22, 2016

AMONG THE NEARLY 20,000 internal emails from the Democratic National Committee, released Friday by Wikileaks and presumably provided by the hacker “Guccifer 2.0,” is a May 2016 message from DNC CFO Brad Marshall. In it, he suggested that the party should “get someone to ask” Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders about his religious beliefs.

From:MARSHALL@dnc.org To: MirandaL@dnc.org, PaustenbachM@dnc.org, DaceyA@dnc.org Date: 2016-05-05 03:31 Subject: No shit It might may no difference, but for KY and WVA can we get someone to ask his belief. Does he believe in a God. He had skated on saying he has a Jewish heritage. I think I read he is an atheist. This could make several points difference with my peeps. My Southern Baptist peeps would draw a big difference between a Jew and an atheist.

The email was sent to DNC Communications Director Luis Miranda and Deputy Communications Director Mark Paustenbach. It’s unclear who the “someone” in this message could be — though a member of the press seems like a safe bet. A request for comment sent to Marshall was not immediately returned.

More at the link.

The DNC is denying the email was discussing Bernie's belief.

Right.

#Munich Attack: Witness Footage Appears to Show Gunman Opening Fire (VIDEO)

You'd be diving for the pavement at the pop pop pop! sound.

This dude Sebastian Raphael on Twitter has the video. A while ago he said that his girlfriend uploaded it, but I don't see that tweet now.

In any case, it's also at the Guardian, "Witness footage appears to show Munich gunman opening fire – video."

Previously, "#Munich Mall Shooting is Second Attack in Germany in Less Than a Week (VIDEO)."

UPDATE: We're still waiting for information on the shooter. So far, it's all speculation, and frankly, it could be a right-wing attack at this point. We just don't know.

Leftists are going to cheer the dead if the #Munich shooter turns out to be a "far right-wing nationalist." #DemConvention #DemsInPhilly

— Donald Douglas (@AmPowerBlog) July 22, 2016

Meanwhile, Robert Stacy McCain's blogging the developments, "MUNICH TERRORIST ATTACK."

Expect further updates.

CNN's Instant Poll of Viewers Shows Donald Trump's Speech Brought Down the House

I retweeted Farhad Manjoo, although I don't think he was thrilled with the numbers, heh.

pic.twitter.com/yMQcOrdRgs

— Farhad Manjoo (@fmanjoo) July 22, 2016

But see BizPac, "CNN probably regrets polling viewers after Trump's RNC speech because, well… WOW."

Look at this poll last night on CNN gauging people's responses to Trump's speech.

And this was on CNN! pic.twitter.com/baLpDuwh6a

— ☆DR.OLMO☆ (@realDrOlmo) July 22, 2016

#Munich Mall Shooting is Second Attack in Germany in Less Than a Week (VIDEO)

Frankly, there's very little information on what happened at this point, but I've trolled a number of videos and again and again speculation returns to the possibility of another Islamic terrorist attack.

It's been just four days since the knife jihad in Würzburg.

Elizabeth Vargas has a special report at ABC News:



I'll have updates.

If it's jihad terrorism once again, let's just say events aren't working to Hillary Clinton's advantage, to say nothing of Angela Merkel's.

Still more at London's Daily Mail, via Memeorandum, "BREAKING NEWS: ‘Several dead’ and 10 injured in shooting rampage inside a Munich shopping centre as police hunt gunman."

A Military Coup Against President Donald Trump? Not Even

Jamie Kirchick is an extremely talented writer and I've long been a fan. But like that of so many others nowadays, he's gone off the deep end with Trump derangement.

Case in point is his argument that the military should oust a President Trump in a coup d'etat, published at the Los Angeles Times last week, "If Trump wins, a coup isn't impossible here in the U.S."

I tweeted something about the absurdity at the time.

But see Breitbart:

Idiot Jamie Kirchick writes it and idiots @latimes print it. #TrumpPence16 #MakeAmericaGreatAgain https://t.co/ReLiqeyIqQ

— Judgment of Solomon (@JudgmentSolomon) July 20, 2016

And at today's Los Angeles Times letters, "A military coup against President Trump? It's irresponsible even to think of it":

To the editor: James Kirchick’s piece weighing the chances of the military overthrowing President Donald Trump is one of the most grotesque op-ed articles I’ve read. (“If Trump wins, a coup isn't impossible here in the U.S.,” Opinion, July 19)

A writer who has never served a day in the military — an organization that in its DNA is meant to protect American democracy — arguing that the same organization would launch a coup against a legitimately elected president is a completely reprehensible claim. Kirchick is blithely ignorant of basic civics, and the constitutional structure of our nation speaks to the paucity of his argument.

This is an affront to all military members who swore an oath to protect the Constitution. While Kirchick has a right to say what he did, he should still be responsible for his words.

John Badertscher, Pittsburgh

My thoughts exactly.

There's another letter at the link.

Trump's really bringing out the crazy on the left.

An Unhinged Republican Convention?

Leftists are going into overdrive tarring conservatives and populist "white nationalist" voters as crazed fascists on the hunt for Mexicans and Muslims.

Actually, I just think there's a hunger among everyday, regular folks for the red meat Trump's dishing out.

But see old-line media hack Joe Klein --- yeah, Joe Klein and the 1990s called ... they want their decade back --- bemoans the "unhinged" rubes of Cleveland.

At Time, "An Unhinged Republican Convention and the Nation’s Greatest Test":

I’m not sure I know how to write about this election anymore without seeming imprudent. I came into this year believing that our government was desperately in need of conservative reform and restraint. I came to those views watching the corroded incompetence of the Department of Veterans Affairs and also in the belief that Democrats had been too unwilling to look at and think clearly about the failures of the welfare state. I had some problems with Hillary Clinton too–from her support for the invasion of Libya to her foolish personal behavior, accepting big-money speeches from Goldman Sachs because, she said, she “wasn’t sure” she was going to run for President. But I would never question her essential decency; indeed, she is one of the most thoughtful politicians I know. And the Democratic Party, for all its politically correct smugness and silliness, has never surrendered its soul to the extremists lurking on its left. The Republican Party, by contrast, has become a national embarrassment. Donald Trump is a national embarrassment. This election will be the greatest test, in my lifetime, of the wisdom of our people and the strength of the democratic project.

Ahem. You see that there?

"And the Democratic Party, for all its politically correct smugness and silliness, has never surrendered its soul to the extremists lurking on its left."

You can see why I consider Joe Klein a relic.

The Democrats are now wholly owned by "the extremists lurking" on the left. And this isn't new. That anyone could even seriously utter such a comment in this day and age is disqualifying. I feel almost sorry for Klein. He's on Twitter but he's only tweeted 332 times, the last time in October 2013. Klein's probably one to say that the most vigorous debate these days remains in the letters to the editor sections of publications like Time Magazine. I mean, c'mon. The dude's a dinosaur. Just ask former presidential candidate Jim Webb if the Democrats remain a centrist party in the Harry Truman mold. Remember, when Webb quit the race he said something to the effect that the party had passed him by, that he wasn't home on the Democrat left in this day and age, a former Marine veteran in Vietnam. Nope, you've gotta be an academic egghead crypto-Marxist like Obama or a crazed old "democrat-socialist" like Bernie Sanders to fit in today. Indeed, Hillary Clinton can't clip leftward fast enough. She's lucky she pulled this off. Had Sanders gone for the jugular from day one, attacking her on Benghazi, the home-brewed server, and Goldman Sachs, he'd probably be making the acceptance speech next Thursday instead of Cankles.

But read the whole thing, in any case.

Republicans Map Path to Victory

At WSJ, "Behind in Polls, Republicans Hope to Blaze New Trail to Victory":

CLEVELAND—Republican Donald Trump’s fall campaign will test whether the most unconventional major-party presidential nominee in generations can cut an unconventional path to the White House.

He aims to outmaneuver Democratic rival Hillary Clinton by capturing a handful of states in the Rust Belt and the Northeast that typically favor Democrats, with an appeal to less-educated, working-class voters.

But the New York businessman leaves the convention here with the most negative public image of any nominee in modern history, particularly among minority voters, according to recent polls, and with many Republicans still hesitant to accept him as their standard bearer.

Those headwinds to winning the 270 electoral votes needed to claim the presidency are particularly strong in some of the country’s more racially and ethnically diverse swing states, polling shows, including Colorado and Virginia, where Mrs. Clinton leads.

Her image, though, is nearly as tarnished as Mr. Trump’s, and the convention here made it clear that Republicans want to make her the focus of the race. Most of the speakers dwelled on her perceived failings, often to chants of “lock her up.’’

In addition, the landscape could change drastically before Election Day, when the conventions will be a distant memory and Mr. Trump will have squared off with Mrs. Clinton in three fall debates. Republican George H.W. Bush, for example, surged past Democrat Michael Dukakis in the fall of 1988.

Advisers to Mr. Trump point to Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin as states where he can outperform past GOP nominees, though the three states haven’t voted Republican in a presidential race since at least 1988.

His team is casting an even wider net, suggesting that Mr. Trump can compete in the solidly blue states of Connecticut, New Jersey and Oregon. “I’m not saying we’re going to win, but we’re going to put them into play,” said Donald Trump Jr., one of the candidate’s sons, at a breakfast this week hosted by the The Wall Street Journal. He was referring to the three blue states, which  Republicans lost in 2012 by double-digit margins.

From the campaign’s outset, the Electoral College math has favored Democrats, with Mr. Trump needing to win 64 more electoral votes than Republican Mitt Romney won in 2012.

Still, when the race began last year, the political environment seemed to be tipping in Republicans’ favor. Voters were eager for change, and it had been more than a decade since the share of Americans who thought the country was on the right track outpaced those who thought it was on the wrong track.

That hasn’t changed, and yet Mrs. Clinton still leads nationally, according to Wall Street Journal/NBC News polling throughout this year...

More.

It's going to be uphill, although surprisingly, Trump's been running even with Clinton nationally, and in some key battleground states as well. See the Suffolk poll out yesterday on Ohio, for example, "Suffolk University Ohio Poll Shows Trump and Clinton Tied at 44 Percent."

Hillary Clinton Expected to Choose Virginia Senator Tim Kaine for Veep

God, it's the year of the ultra-safe veep selections.

Clinton shoulda picked Warren. She's have declared war on the patriarchy and mollified the Bernie or Bust crowd.

At the New York Times, "Tim Kaine Seems Likely for Hillary Clinton’s No. 2, but Liberals Balk":

Tim Kaine may not be liberals’ first choice as Hillary Clinton’s No. 2 https://t.co/uRnRR8xC7q pic.twitter.com/CgSh9H1gyt

— NYT Politics (@nytpolitics) July 22, 2016

"One group is already disappointed at the prospect of Mr. Kaine on the Democratic ticket: liberals" @amychozick https://t.co/hdaxXHJvDT

— Michael Tackett (@tackettdc) July 21, 2016

Democrats close to Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign signaled strongly Thursday that she would choose Senator Tim Kaine of Virginia as her running mate, rounding out the ticket with a popular politician from a battleground state.

Both former President Bill Clinton and the White House have expressed their support for Mr. Kaine, but aides cautioned that Mrs. Clinton had not yet made a final decision and that other candidates were still under consideration.

Mrs. Clinton is widely expected to announce her choice in an email to supporters while on a campaign swing in Florida on Friday afternoon, an attempt to regain momentum the day after her Republican opponent, Donald J. Trump, accepted his party’s nomination in Cleveland. With Mr. Kaine emerging as a clear favorite, one group already expressed disappointment at the prospect of the former governor of Virginia joining the ticket: liberals.

Many of the groups that backed Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont in his Democratic contest against Mrs. Clinton had hoped she would extend an olive branch to the liberal wing of the party and choose a vice-presidential candidate whose stances on Wall Street and global trade deals closely aligned with those of Mr. Sanders.

But with the Democratic National Convention beginning in Philadelphia on Monday, the prospects have dimmed for the two liberal senators who were being considered, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Sherrod Brown of Ohio. That has led to more liberal scrutiny of Mr. Kaine’s record...

So bland. Yuck.

But hey, you don't want your veep showing you up.

Still more.

Donald Trump Gave the Speech of His Live — And Then Some!

At the New York Post:

Donald Trump needed to give the speech of his life — and he did that, and much more https://t.co/68WYuR5bfA pic.twitter.com/hpb01ar1FV

— New York Post (@nypost) July 22, 2016

TERRIFYING!

Well, that's one way to characterize it, but leftists are pretty much unified that Trump gave a fearsome speech. And some, for example, Van Jones and Sally Kohn, were terrified because it was so good.

In any case, here's Kash Hill, "Holy crap, Donald Trump’s RNC acceptance speech was TERRIFYING."

Ivanka Trump’s speech was inspiring. Donald Trump’s speech was terrifying. https://t.co/HxPGoSJn9O

— Kashmir Hill (@kashhill) July 22, 2016

Milo Yiannopoulos Responds to Orwellian Twitter Ban (VIDEO)

At InfoWars, "Milo Responds to Orwellian Twitter Ban."

Short excerpt here:

The Amount of Immigration Patriotism in Donald Trump's Speech is Amazing!

An interesting post, at V-Dare.

The #NeverTrump Crowd Must Bear Responsibility for a Hillary Clinton Presidency

At AoSHQ, "Yes, #NeverTrumpers, You Are In Fact Morally Responsible for the Hillary Clinton Presidency You're Agitating For."

RTWT at the link.

It's good.

Donald Trump's Speech to the Republican National Convention: #ImWithYou (VIDEO)

The full video is here, "Watch Presidential Candidate Donald Trump's Full Speech at the 2016 Republican National Convention."

And at the Wall Street Journal, "Donald Trump Accepts GOP Nomination, Promises to Fix America":

Donald Trump ended his party’s convention Thursday the way he began his history-making campaign: attacking the political establishment, playing to voters’ fears of foreigners and crime, and making bold promises to fix America’s ills.

“I have joined the political arena so that the powerful can no longer beat up on people who cannot defend themselves,” said the first-time politician whose populist message helped him capture the Republican presidential nomination.

The speech, which ran more than an hour, painted a grim view of the U.S. economy and world affairs under President Barack Obama, and intensified the attack on the record of his rival Hillary Clinton.

“This is the legacy of Hillary Clinton: death, destruction, terrorism and weakness,” he said.

He returned to familiar campaign themes of opposing international trade deals and cracking down on illegal immigration. He drew strong applause when he reiterated his desire to ban immigrants from nations “compromised by terrorism,” and departed from his prepared text to say, “We don’t want them in our country.”

He homed in on Mrs. Clinton, the one issue sure to galvanize Republicans in November. Arguing that her tenure as secretary of state under Mr. Obama fomented instability abroad, he said, “America is far less safe—and the world is far less stable—than when Obama made the decision to put Hillary Clinton in charge of America’s foreign policy,” he said. “I am certain it is a decision President Barack Obama truly regrets.”

Mr. Trump’s speech was the capstone of a tumultuous convention that exposed some of the risks he faces as he takes his unorthodox campaign into a general election campaign against Democratic rival Hillary Clinton’s well-funded and well-oiled machine.

Mr. Trump presented himself as uniquely equipped to lead the nation.

“Nobody knows the system better than me, which is why I alone can fix it,” he said.

Citing recent episodes of gun violence and attacks on police officers, he put fresh emphasis on law and order.

“Beginning on January 20th of 2017, safety will be restored,” he said. “The first task for our new administration will be to liberate our citizens from the crime and terrorism and lawlessness that threaten our communities.”

Mr. Trump’s message has been honed before oversize crowds on the primary campaign trail. It is less clear how it will play in a tough general election ahead with a broader audience of swing voters. Testing that was one of the chief convention goals, along with trying to unite the party and broaden Mr. Trump’s personal profile...

Actually, it might go over pretty well. A CNN snap poll of those who viewed the speech showed 57 percent had a "very positive" reaction, and another 18 percent were "somewhat positive." Sure, some of that will face, but when Trump's on point, avoids side-harangues, and talks policy, he connects with voters.

But keep reading.