At the Riverside Press Enterprise, "9,000-acre Blue Cut fire puts 82,600 under evacuation orders in Cajon Pass."
And at the San Bernardino Sun, "Blue Cut fire burns 9,000 acres in Cajon Pass, more than 80,000 evacuated."
Still more, at LAT, "Buildings burn, residents flee as out-of-control brush fire burns 9,000 acres in Cajon Pass."
And watch, at CBS News 2 Los Angeles:
Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Poll: Zogby Analytics Has Hillary Clinton Up 2-Points Over Donald Trump, 38 to 36 Percent
I have no idea about the reliability of Zogby's polling.
Paul Bedard's making a big deal out of it, though. At the Washington Examiner, "Pow: It's just a 2-point race, Clinton 38%, Trump 36%" (via Memeorandum).
It's an online survey, which the Trump campaign prefers, apparently believing that anonymous polls are more reliable because respondents feel free to state their true feelings. I'm not sure how you measure that, although it's an interesting hypothesis. I guess the ultimate test will be on November 8th, when everyone votes.
In any case, go straight to Zogby, "Clinton and Trump in Statistical Tie; Trump Has Closed the Gap Among Older Millennials:
The crucial "Weekly Walmart" demographic lol.
This election's the best ever, no matter what happens.
I don't see head-to-head match-up numbers excluding the third party candidates at Zogby.
The Los Angeles Times "Daybreak" election poll now has Hillary up by roughly three of points, just about within the margin of error, 45.5 to 42.1.
Still, Hillary's still up by 6.7 percent in RCP presidential polling average. When that average comes back down to a couple of points or so, I'll give Zogby and the "Daybreak" poll a little more credibility.
Paul Bedard's making a big deal out of it, though. At the Washington Examiner, "Pow: It's just a 2-point race, Clinton 38%, Trump 36%" (via Memeorandum).
It's an online survey, which the Trump campaign prefers, apparently believing that anonymous polls are more reliable because respondents feel free to state their true feelings. I'm not sure how you measure that, although it's an interesting hypothesis. I guess the ultimate test will be on November 8th, when everyone votes.
In any case, go straight to Zogby, "Clinton and Trump in Statistical Tie; Trump Has Closed the Gap Among Older Millennials:
Trump has kept the race close by winning Independents. He is winning Independents 32% to 26% and has also closed the gap among older Millennials. Trump is tied with Clinton at 30% among 25-34 year old voters. Another interesting development is over the years we have tracked voting habits among NASCAR fans and Weekly WalMart shoppers. Ten years ago these groups tended to slant conservative and Republican. That trend has been reversed during the Obama Presidency, and these consumers tend to be more liberal and supporters of Democrats today. Trump has reversed this trend. Both NASCAR fans and WalMart shoppers favor Trump over Clinton. Donald Trump is winning NASCAR fans (44% to 36%) and weekly WalMart shoppers 41% to 36%.Heh.
The crucial "Weekly Walmart" demographic lol.
This election's the best ever, no matter what happens.
I don't see head-to-head match-up numbers excluding the third party candidates at Zogby.
The Los Angeles Times "Daybreak" election poll now has Hillary up by roughly three of points, just about within the margin of error, 45.5 to 42.1.
Still, Hillary's still up by 6.7 percent in RCP presidential polling average. When that average comes back down to a couple of points or so, I'll give Zogby and the "Daybreak" poll a little more credibility.
'Hell or High Water' is Great
Following-up, "'Hell or High Water': Hollywood Makes a Pro-Gun Movie — Woot! (VIDEO)," and "Heading Out to 'Hell or High Water' in a Bit."
We saw it over at the Irvine 6 Theaters, next door to U.C. Irvine. That's an art house cinema now, but frankly, the movie should be playing massive multiplexes across the country. It's a classic, a much better movie that "No Country for Old Men," which won the best picture Oscar back in '08.
That's just my take, but "High Water" seemed so much more, well, real. It just seemed so genuine, like it was almost happening in real time right before your eyes. Plus, if you're a Jeff Bridges fan, don't miss it. He plays Texas Ranger Marcus Hamilton, and his sidekick, Alberto, is Native American. Leftists will hate the movie for the over-stuffing of racist Indian jokes, but Bridges delivers these with so much heart that you know Hamiton's doing it out of love for his fellow Ranger. And besides, Alberto lets him have it mercilessly a few times as well, so you don't feel sorry for him. Their repartee is actually a bundle of laughs in an otherwise serious --- frankly macabre --- modern-day Western.
In any case, here's another review, at the Hollywood Reporter, "'Hell or High Water': Cannes Review."
I hope this film does well during awards season. It should definitely be up for best picture.
We saw it over at the Irvine 6 Theaters, next door to U.C. Irvine. That's an art house cinema now, but frankly, the movie should be playing massive multiplexes across the country. It's a classic, a much better movie that "No Country for Old Men," which won the best picture Oscar back in '08.
That's just my take, but "High Water" seemed so much more, well, real. It just seemed so genuine, like it was almost happening in real time right before your eyes. Plus, if you're a Jeff Bridges fan, don't miss it. He plays Texas Ranger Marcus Hamilton, and his sidekick, Alberto, is Native American. Leftists will hate the movie for the over-stuffing of racist Indian jokes, but Bridges delivers these with so much heart that you know Hamiton's doing it out of love for his fellow Ranger. And besides, Alberto lets him have it mercilessly a few times as well, so you don't feel sorry for him. Their repartee is actually a bundle of laughs in an otherwise serious --- frankly macabre --- modern-day Western.
In any case, here's another review, at the Hollywood Reporter, "'Hell or High Water': Cannes Review."
I hope this film does well during awards season. It should definitely be up for best picture.
Bella Hadid for Vogue Paris
Alice Goffman, On the Run
I'm reading Alice Goffman's, On the Run: Fugitive Life in an American City.
I like it, although I'm not unfamiliar with the controversy surrounding the book.
At the New York Times, "The Trials of Alice Goffman."
I like it, although I'm not unfamiliar with the controversy surrounding the book.
At the New York Times, "The Trials of Alice Goffman."
Heading Out to 'Hell or High Water' in a Bit
I need to see a movie. I don't want to sit around all afternoon.
Following-up from the other day, "'Hell or High Water': Hollywood Makes a Pro-Gun Movie — Woot! (VIDEO)."
At the Los Angeles Times, "Jeff Bridges, 'Hell or High Water' and refining the modern Western."
I love Westerns. My dad used to say "shoot 'em ups."
Even the leftist Daily Beast is pleased with this one, "‘Hell or High Water’ Is the Bullet-Riddled Antidote to this Godawful Movie Summer."
Following-up from the other day, "'Hell or High Water': Hollywood Makes a Pro-Gun Movie — Woot! (VIDEO)."
At the Los Angeles Times, "Jeff Bridges, 'Hell or High Water' and refining the modern Western."
I love Westerns. My dad used to say "shoot 'em ups."
Even the leftist Daily Beast is pleased with this one, "‘Hell or High Water’ Is the Bullet-Riddled Antidote to this Godawful Movie Summer."
Rhian Sugden Bouncy Bikini on Turkish Holiday
Heh. She went to Turkey of all places, lol.
At WWTDD, "Rhian Sugden in a Bikini."
And at the U.K.'s Daily Express:
More on Twitter.
At WWTDD, "Rhian Sugden in a Bikini."
And at the U.K.'s Daily Express:
Lingerie model @Rhianmarie flaunts her incredible bikini body on the beach https://t.co/QDIgF3dizw pic.twitter.com/YGS6VrEL2N
— Daily Express (@Daily_Express) August 15, 2016
More on Twitter.
Rogers Ailes to Advise Donald Trump Ahead of Presidential Debates
Wow.
Is Roger Ailes Trump's magic man?
Heh. Someone needs to perform some magic, lol.
At NYT, via Memorandum:
Is Roger Ailes Trump's magic man?
Heh. Someone needs to perform some magic, lol.
At NYT, via Memorandum:
Roger Ailes, the Fox News chief ousted over allegations of sexual harassment, is advising Trump before the debates https://t.co/aMbXnbHmkq
— The New York Times (@nytimes) August 16, 2016
Monday, August 15, 2016
Zika's Spread Helped Along by Brazil's Deep Poverty
I've been tweeting Olympics news with the #ThirdWorldGames hashtag, and you can see why after reading this piece at the Los Angeles Times.
Here, "Brazil defeated the mosquito that spreads Zika once before — few expect it to do so again."
Raw sewage runs through drainage canals, there's no running water in homes, and families don't have enough money to buy their own bug spray pesticides. It's a choice between fighting mosquitoes or putting food on the table.
Here, "Brazil defeated the mosquito that spreads Zika once before — few expect it to do so again."
Raw sewage runs through drainage canals, there's no running water in homes, and families don't have enough money to buy their own bug spray pesticides. It's a choice between fighting mosquitoes or putting food on the table.
Rita Ora Steps Out in Lace Slip Dress in New York
She's nice.
At London's Daily Mail, "Rita Ora steps out in a VERY revealing nude slip dress."
Previously, "Rita Ora for 'Lui' Magazine."
At London's Daily Mail, "Rita Ora steps out in a VERY revealing nude slip dress."
Previously, "Rita Ora for 'Lui' Magazine."
Green Party Candidate Jill Stein Attacks Hillary Clinton on Private Email Server (VIDEO)
If Bernie would have done this he might well have become the nominee.
At CNN:
At CNN:
Soak Up Summer Sales Event
At Amazon, Savings & Deals in Soak Up Summer.
Shop for books as well.
And check out the Back to School Event while you're at it.
Shop for books as well.
And check out the Back to School Event while you're at it.
Michael Kranish and Marc Fisher, Trump Revealed
The Trump campaign initially refused to cooperate with the authors of the book, but somebody had a change of heart and Donald Trump participated in 20 hours of interviews (according to the Los Angeles Times).
Who knows?
Maybe it's worth a look.
Out August 23rd, at Amazon, Trump Revealed: An American Journey of Ambition, Ego, Money, and Power.
Who knows?
Maybe it's worth a look.
Out August 23rd, at Amazon, Trump Revealed: An American Journey of Ambition, Ego, Money, and Power.
'Extreme Vetting' — Donald Trump's Terrorism Plan Calls for Limits on Immigration (VIDEO)
Following-up from earlier, "In New National Security Speech, Donald Trump to Call for Ideological Screening for Terrorists."
As I wrote there, "Of course, he'll be savaged by the Islamo-coddling left-wing media."
Yep, it turns out one Politico hack claims Trump's plan will make the U.S. less safe. I know, leftist logic is just impeccable, heh.
And there's all kinds of left-wing rejoinders at Memeorandum.
Frankly, this "extreme vetting" plan is the best thing yet!
At LAT, "Donald Trump calls for 'extreme vetting' and an ideological test for would-be immigrants":
You can see how leftist media reports are highly critical, but of course Trump's plan is exactly what we need.
It's a great start.
On this issue alone I'd vote for Trump in a heartbeat. It's the crucial issue facing the country. We're at the crossroads. It's existential.
Leftists are going to hate it, obviously. The left is simple incapable of protecting American national security. If Trump's not elected, these issues are not going away. No doubt other candidates will again raise the prospect of "extreme vetting" to save the country.
It's a breath of fresh air.
As I wrote there, "Of course, he'll be savaged by the Islamo-coddling left-wing media."
Yep, it turns out one Politico hack claims Trump's plan will make the U.S. less safe. I know, leftist logic is just impeccable, heh.
And there's all kinds of left-wing rejoinders at Memeorandum.
Frankly, this "extreme vetting" plan is the best thing yet!
At LAT, "Donald Trump calls for 'extreme vetting' and an ideological test for would-be immigrants":
Since Donald Trump called for temporarily banning Muslims from entering the U.S., he has tried to expand, narrow or otherwise redefine the polarizing proposal that helped win him the Republican primary but has posed a greater challenge in the general election campaign.Keep reading.
On Monday, he added a phrase to his policy lexicon: “extreme vetting.”
To Trump, that means ensuring anyone entering the country shares American values.
The newest addition to Trump’s immigration policy came during a major speech on national security in Youngstown, Ohio, that featured an unusually subdued Trump reading uneasily at times from a teleprompter and repeating several false claims, including his assertion that he was early to oppose the Iraq invasion and the unsubstantiated pronouncement that the San Bernardino shooters’ neighbor saw bombs in their apartment before the attacks.
It followed days of criticism over Trump’s insistence that President Obama and Hillary Clinton founded Islamic State. Those comments, and other unscripted and unforced controversies, have helped distract from Trump’s core economic and anti-terrorism messages, push down his standing in polls and lead Republicans to once again urge him to curtail his improvisational style of campaigning.
Trump did not explicitly back down from his December proposal, still on his campaign website, for “a total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States until our country's representatives can figure out what is going on.”
He did not mention it, instead calling on the departments of State and Homeland Security "to identify a list of regions where adequate screening cannot take place," which would then be referred to to temporarily halt visas.
Trump spent more of his speech defining what he said was a new ideological test for those entering the U.S., comparing his plan to Cold War-era screening.
"We should only admit into this country those who share our values and respect our people," he said. "In addition to screening out all members or sympathizers of terrorist groups, we must also screen out any who have hostile attitudes towards our country or its principles – or who believe that Sharia law should supplant American law. Those who do not believe in our Constitution, or who support bigotry and hatred, will not be admitted."
You can see how leftist media reports are highly critical, but of course Trump's plan is exactly what we need.
It's a great start.
On this issue alone I'd vote for Trump in a heartbeat. It's the crucial issue facing the country. We're at the crossroads. It's existential.
Leftists are going to hate it, obviously. The left is simple incapable of protecting American national security. If Trump's not elected, these issues are not going away. No doubt other candidates will again raise the prospect of "extreme vetting" to save the country.
It's a breath of fresh air.
Timely as Ever: Heather Mac Donald's The War on Cops
Well, after Milwaukee, time to re-up Heather Mac Donald's The War on Cops.
At Amazon, The War on Cops: How the New Attack on Law and Order Makes Everyone Less Safe.
You're gonna love this book.
I guarantee it!
At Amazon, The War on Cops: How the New Attack on Law and Order Makes Everyone Less Safe.
You're gonna love this book.
I guarantee it!
More Books on the U.S. and China's Rise [BUMPED]
I posted a lot of links to books on China and U.S.-Chinese relations the other day, at my Deal of the Day roundup here.
And since I'm reading and thinking about this stuff this afternoon, I thought I'd post some more.
See, Aaron L. Friedberg, A Contest for Supremacy: China, America, and the Struggle for Mastery in Asia.
Also, Hugh White, The China Choice: Why We Should Share Power.
And, Yan Xuetong, Ancient Chinese Thought, Modern Chinese Power.
All of these works are reviewed by Professor Yuen Foong Khong, at International Security, "Primacy or World Order? The United States and China's Rise — A Review Essay."
BONUS: See Stephen G. Brooks and William C. Wohlforth, World Out of Balance: International Relations and the Challenge of American Primacy.
And since I'm reading and thinking about this stuff this afternoon, I thought I'd post some more.
See, Aaron L. Friedberg, A Contest for Supremacy: China, America, and the Struggle for Mastery in Asia.
Also, Hugh White, The China Choice: Why We Should Share Power.
And, Yan Xuetong, Ancient Chinese Thought, Modern Chinese Power.
All of these works are reviewed by Professor Yuen Foong Khong, at International Security, "Primacy or World Order? The United States and China's Rise — A Review Essay."
BONUS: See Stephen G. Brooks and William C. Wohlforth, World Out of Balance: International Relations and the Challenge of American Primacy.
NBC Battleground Map: Clinton Surges Past 270 Electoral Votes
Well, it's something to think about at least.
Here, "Clinton Surges Past 270 Electoral Votes in NBC News Battleground Map."
Interesting that Florida, Nevada, Iowa, and Ohio are all "toss-up" states.
Well, compare to Sabato's Crystal Ball, which doesn't list any toss-up states, thus giving Donald Trump 191 electors. Either way, Trump's got a lot of ground to make up.
Here, "Clinton Surges Past 270 Electoral Votes in NBC News Battleground Map."
Interesting that Florida, Nevada, Iowa, and Ohio are all "toss-up" states.
Latest @NBCNews battleground map shows a tough road for Trump. pic.twitter.com/fDDxhEoZad
— Ali Vitali (@alivitali) August 15, 2016
Well, compare to Sabato's Crystal Ball, which doesn't list any toss-up states, thus giving Donald Trump 191 electors. Either way, Trump's got a lot of ground to make up.
Here is our current Electoral College map. We've been at 347 Safe/Likely/Lean Clinton, 191 S/L/L Trump since March pic.twitter.com/7l8IpOGWwt
— Larry Sabato (@LarrySabato) August 11, 2016
Donald Trump Course Correction
A sober editorial, at the Wall Street Journal:
WSJ lays down the gauntlet: either Trump course corrects now or he should drop out. https://t.co/Ly2FBnqHqp pic.twitter.com/mkEvDElT3c
— Matt McDermott (@mattmfm) August 15, 2016
In New National Security Speech, Donald Trump to Call for Ideological Screening for Terrorists
Well good.
Of course, he'll be savaged by the Islamo-coddling left-wing media.
But this is great.
Via Jennifer Jacobs, at Bloomberg:
Of course, he'll be savaged by the Islamo-coddling left-wing media.
But this is great.
Via Jennifer Jacobs, at Bloomberg:
Trump will call for "screening test to admit only those who support US laws and values,” his aides say. https://t.co/btxhwbeU9M @kevcirilli
— Jennifer Jacobs (@JenniferJJacobs) August 15, 2016
The Road Ahead for Populism
Some folks think Trump's powerful populism has already petered out. Many no longer support him, but they don't like Hillary either.
From Salena Zito, at the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review:
From Salena Zito, at the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review:
“I am going to shut my eyes, hold my nose, vote, and then go home and disinfect myself,” https://t.co/CulEZ23ZkQ
— SalenaZito (@SalenaZito) August 15, 2016
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