Wednesday, February 3, 2016
Glenn Reynolds Talks to Advice Columnist Amy Alkon (VIDEO)
At Instapundit, "INSTAVISION: I Talk With Amy Alkon: Campus Rape: Are the Accused Being Treated Unfairly?"
It's on YouTube, "Instapundit Glenn Reynolds sits down with author and syndicated advice columnist Amy Alkon to discuss the current sexual assault epidemic raging through American campuses and Europe. Who is to blame and are the accusers being treated fairly?"
Amy's book is Good Manners for Nice People Who Sometimes Say F*ck.
Barack Hussein Condemns 'Anti-Muslim Bigotry' in Presidential Visit to Baltimore Terror Mosque (VIDEO)
Barack Hussein visited the Islamic Society of Baltimore, which is tied to Islamic jihad organizations.
See Jihad Watch, "U.S. mosque Obama to visit controlled by Hamas-linked ISNA, former imam was Muslim Brotherhood member," and "Robert Spencer in PJ Media: Obama visits Muslim Brotherhood-tied mosque."
Also, at Pamela's, "WATCH Obama’s Radical Speech at Jihad-Terror Tied ISB Mosque in Baltimore: “Muslims Keep Us Safe”."
Plus, at the Baltimore Sun, "President Obama at Maryland mosque: 'You fit in here'."
More, at CBS News 13 Baltimore:
Sarah Palin Slams the 'Lies of Ted Cruz's Campaign'
I stayed up early into the morning reading and blogging, as I always do, but then I had to get going at 7:00am to get my kid ready and take him to school. I feel back asleep after I came back home. I saw folks mocking today's Donald Trump Twitter tirade before I dozed off, and now waking back up I see the campaign's blown apart on all sides.
You gotta love it!
Here's the former GOP vice-presidential candidate, on Facebook, "Dirty Politics: Witnessing Firsthand It's Always Heartbreaking, Never Surprising" (via Memeorandum).
Marco Rubio Lands Cover Photo at Los Angeles Spanish-Language Newspaper La Opinión
I just took the photo and didn't bother picking up the paper. But no doubt he's got the Spanish-language daily's endorsement.
I'm sure El Rushbo would approve, heh.
Here's KOIN News 6's Coverage of CNN's Victoria Sharp Interview (VIDEO)
Via Portland's KOIN News 6:
Bob Schieffer's Homespun Wisdom on the Odd Twists and Turns of Election 2016 (VIDEO)
That's great CBS News lets him come back once and a while to entertain his with his folksy presidential campaign homilies.
Via CBS Evening News:
Twenty Possible Case of Zika Virus in Los Angeles (VIDEO)
In any case, at the Los Angeles Times, "Several more possible Zika cases in L.A. County":
Though there's only one confirmed case of Zika virus in Los Angeles County, several more people who might be infected are being tested for the illness, public health officials said Wednesday.More.
The L.A. County Department of Public Health has received numerous reports from physicians of possible Zika cases, and officials have sent a number of patient specimens to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for testing, said Dr. Jeffrey Gunzenhauser, the county's interim health officer. He said that fewer than 20 samples had been sent to the CDC.
So far, there have been no cases of Zika virus — a mosquito-borne illness that is linked to serious brain defects in newborns — that were acquired through mosquitoes in the United States.
The single confirmed L.A. County case was in a young girl who traveled to El Salvador in November. California officials said earlier this week that there have been six cases of Zika infections in the last three years, all in people who visited countries with outbreaks.
Zika is transmitted when a mosquito bites someone who has been recently infected, and then bites another person. The infection doesn't have symptoms in as many as 80% of people.
But public health officials became worried about the virus when cases of microcephaly, a condition in which a baby's head is unusually small, skyrocketed in Brazil after a Zika outbreak began there last year. The virus has been rapidly spreading, and cases have since been reported in more than 20 countries in the Americas...
And watch, at CBS News 2 Los Angeles:
Hillary Clinton Reassesses Bernie Sanders — And Chris Matthews Does Battlespace Preparation (VIDEO)
Oh boy. Where to begin? Just note that Matthews is clearing the deck, doing ideological battlespace preparations for Clinton, to inoculate her from charges of socialism, from charges that she's no different from Bernie Sanders, who honeymooned in the Soviet Union. Matthews, more of a Democrat Party operative with a journalist's byline than almost anyone in the corrupt leftist media complex, knows full well that he's got to whitewash Hillary's radicalism. This is a woman who's come out for every leftist development under the sun. She backed the Houston city ballot measure to allow grown men dressed as women to use restrooms with your pre-teen daughters. She's been trying to coopt the crypto-communist Black Lives Matter movement forever, and may still do so, with her formidable black support in the Southern states. Remember, the Clintons are Southern Democrats, and they'll milk the black vote, pretending to be "black" to keep that constituency down on the leftist plantation. Matthews knows they've got to come across, in the end, as centrist, and thus he mainstreams the left's stealth 20th-century socialism through the institutional Democrat Party machinery as American as apple pie. The Founders of this nation would be shocked at the transmogrification of our political regime into the collectivist dependency monstrosity it's become.
(I didn't even get to Matthews' lies about the Republican Party, who had more votes in Congress for civil rights legislation in the 1950s and 1960s than the Democrats ever did, to say nothing of the filibusters from white supremacists like Strom Thurmond and so forth. They're racist Dixiecrats, the lot of them. These people are rank, despicable partisan liars and crooks.)
Man, we're completely screwed if the American public falls for this again. Hillary wants to complete the Radical-in-Chief Barack Hussein's "fundamental transformation," and she's got the collective media to lie and sugar coat for her. It's so bad that even Orwell would be flabbergasted.
In any case, here's more form Alexis Simendinger, at RCP, "Tough Iowa Race Leaves Clinton Reassessing Sanders":
After winning the Iowa caucuses by a margin so slender that her underdog challenger appeared stronger as a result, Hillary Clinton is trying to figure out if Bernie Sanders remains a contender for weeks, or for months.Simendinger's quoting Hillary from the very same Chris Matthews interview seen above. Notice how it's all of a piece? Paint Hillary as the pragmatic one, the one who can get things done, when the facts are she can't get things done (hello Benghazi). She's a rank partisan operative who'll bend her political image to the goals of the ideological program. She wrote her senior thesis at Wellesley, entitled "There Is Only the Fight," on Saul Alinsky. She knows as well as anyone that you've got to play sneaky and underhanded to keep pushing the revolution from within, to keep marching through the institutions to achieve that fundamental change that Barack Hussein wasn't shy about proclaiming just days before election 2008.
New Hampshire could be the high point of Sanders’ presidential bid, considering the hefty lead he has racked up in Granite State polls, or it could put revolutionary fever on ice as the Democratic contest moves past the tiny, liberal and overwhelmingly white New England state to venture into more diverse, populous territory.
Clinton and the Vermont senator flew to New Hampshire, determined to press ahead to that state’s Feb. 9 contest, then to Nevada’s caucus Feb. 20 and the regionally important South Carolina primary Feb. 27.
“I have to really get out there, make my case, which I intend to do this week,” Clinton said Tuesday during an MSNBC interview. “I feel really good about my campaign in New Hampshire … We're not leaving anything on the ground. We're moving forward. And I think we'll do well.”
Sanders currently enjoys an 18-point lead over the former secretary of state in New Hampshire, where Clinton won in 2008 following her memorable burst of teary-eyed candor following a loss days earlier to Barack Obama and John Edwards in Iowa.
With expectations of a Sanders victory there, the two foes are mulling three challenges.
First, do they have the right messages for New Hampshire?
Clearly, Sanders’ rallying cries to think “big” and triumph over a rigged political system and an economy tilted to advantage the “billionaire class” drew young liberals, first-time participants, and the less affluent during the Iowa caucusing. The senator channels the angst of fed-up idealists and reflects the aspirations of struggling families. His message will not change in New Hampshire.
Clinton’s campaign pitch, on the other hand, could get retooled. Her message is often perceived to be about herself, more than about the electorate. And the former first lady is arguing she is steeped in policy, tough enough to trounce a GOP nominee, and seasoned on the world stage.
Her counter arguments to Sanders’ aspirations for free college tuition, a Medicare-for-all health system, and higher taxes on the wealthy are intended to be pragmatic and deliverable. Some Democrats pointed to the Iowa results to wonder if Clinton’s rationale for the presidency comes off as pale beige in a wild-paisley kind of race.
“I just want them to understand what I'm offering, what I believe we can do,” Clinton told MSNBC about New Hampshire voters. “You know, ideas that sound good on paper but can't create results for people are just that -- good ideas on paper. I have a track record of producing results.”
When New Hampshire Sen. Jean Shaheen was asked Tuesday if Clinton needed to alter her campaign message, the senator fell back on talking points about experience often used by the former secretary of state’s political advisers.
“This is a long campaign. People are just beginning to pay attention. And I think when those young people hear the differences between Hillary and her opponents, that she's going to come out on top,” Shaheen said.
Second, how are the two candidates playing the expectations game?
Campaigning in New Hampshire after her Iowa squeaker, Clinton lowered expectations for victory, while Sanders behaved as if he has the home-field advantage. Anything Clinton can do to readjust expectations may help ease the vapors among her Democratic base of supporters, as well as with voters in the contests that follow New Hampshire, and among the media (up to a point).
Having represented nearby New York, won the New Hampshire primary once and watched her husband declare himself the “comeback kid” there in 1992, Clinton is not exactly a stranger to the Granite State. But she’s begun to define it as Sanders’ turf...
People have really got to pay attention to how this all plays out through the spring. Remember Mother Jones' secret videos of Mitt Romney and the 47 percent? If the Republicans aren't ready to play hardball like that, to go toe-to-toe on down-and-dirty politics, they're going to lose again. Chris Matthews is devious. He's a devious mofo, and as Hillary warms up to his ideological subterfuge-signaling the video, she plays the moderate card to the hilt.
More from Simendinger at the link, in any event.
Sammy Braddy Tease
At Egotastic!, "SAMMY BRADDY NAUGHTY SCHOOLGIRL TEASE."
Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton Campaign in New Hampshire (VIDEO)
At WMUR News 9 Manchester, "Clinton, Sanders rally in New Hampshire."
That's an interesting clip. It starts with footage from Bernie's rally in Claremont.
Also, at WCVB News 5 Boston, "Clinton, Sanders turn full attention to New Hampshire," and "Hillary Clinton says Sanders must explain policies."
I just don't see Clinton winning in the Granite State. Sanders holds a 63-to-30 percent lead in that UMass Lowell poll I blogged last night.
And Bernie is so on point and message-disciplined, it's going to be a matter of just how big a blowout New Hampshire's going to be for him. If Hillary can keep the damage minimal, beating expectations, then she'll fly out of there with something of a win.
Expect updates...
Snowpack at California's Sierra Nevadas at 130 Percent (VIDEO)
My gosh this is great!
At KCRA News 3 Sacramento:
Previously, "El Niño's Helping, But Still a Ways to Go."
Former Senator Scott Brown Endorses Donald Trump at Rally in Milford, New Hampshire (VIDEO)
At WMUR News 9 Manchester, "Scott Brown endorses Donald Trump at campaign event in Milford":
They held a joint press conference together, but almost all of the questions were about Iowa.
"Everybody wanted his endorsement and I'm very honored that he's giving it to me,” said Trump.
A lot of the national media tried to provoke Trump into being more expressive about what happened, but Trump did his best to just kind of brush off the loss.
From what he told the crowd, it was clear that the way this is being portrayed is getting under his skin.
"I think that we did very well. I did not expect to do so well. I guess what did happen is one poll came out that said I'm four or five points ahead and that maybe built up a false expectation for some people,” said Trump.
While he kept his cool with the media, Trump let a little New York slip into his vocabulary in his stump speech, swearing twice -- once talking about Russia...
Now, if Trump could get Brown's daughter Ayla out on the stump, I'm sure he'd pick up an even larger chunk of youth demographic, young male youth in particular, heh.
Amazon to Open Hundreds of Brick-and-Mortar Bookstores
At the New York Post, "Amazon to open hundreds of brick-and-mortar bookstores":
Amazon.com Inc is planning to open hundreds of brick-and-mortar bookstores, the head of a major U.S. mall operator said.Bezos has big plans. He's freakin' out to take over the entire U.S. economy!
Such an expansion, which Amazon itself has not confirmed, would position the world’s No. 1 online retailer as a competitor to booksellers such as Barnes & Noble Inc. At present, Amazon operates a single bookstore in its home city, Seattle.
“You’ve got Amazon opening brick-and-mortar bookstores and their goal is to open, as I understand, 300 to 400 bookstores,” Sandeep Mathrani, chief executive of General Growth Properties Inc, said on Tuesday.
He was responding to question about mall traffic during a conference call with analysts, a day after the No. 2 U.S. mall operator reported quarterly earnings.
Amazon spokeswoman Sarah Gelman declined to comment...
I joke, but not by much. He already owns the Washington Post, one of the most important newspaper properties in the U.S., and he's seeking to open his own parcel shipping business on a scale to rival both UPS and the U.S. Postal Service. He's like a 21st-century robber baron, although no one looks at all these new tech giant moguls like that.
More at that top link.
Tuesday, February 2, 2016
Young Voters in Iowa Favored Bernie Sanders Six-to-One Over Hillary Clinton
From Ronald Brownstein, at the Atlantic, "The Great Democratic Age Gap":
Bernie Sanders answered two important questions with his strong showing in Iowa. But, despite his impressive finish, he’ll need to answer two more to truly threaten Hillary Clinton for the Democratic presidential nomination.An interesting hypothesis emerges: when young voters turn out, especially at record levels, far-left radicalism prevails in the outcomes.
The most powerful lesson from the Iowa caucus results is that Democrats are facing not just a generation gap, but a Grand Canyon-sized chasm. As I wrote this week, age has emerged as the single most important dividing line in the struggle between Sanders and Clinton.
In the Iowa entrance poll (which questions voters on the way into a caucus, rather than on their way out the door, like “exit polls” in primaries) Sanders amassed astounding margins among young people. He crushed Clinton by an almost unimaginable six to one—84 percent to 14 percent—among voters younger than 30. For those tempted to dismiss that as just a campus craze, he also routed her by 58 percent to 37 percent among those aged 30 to 44.
But Clinton’s margins were almost as impressive among older voters: she beat Sanders 58 percent to 35 percent among those aged 45-64, and by 69 percent to 26 percent among seniors.
That’s an even wider age gap than Iowa produced in the 2008 contest between Clinton and Barack Obama. In that Iowa caucus, Clinton also was routed among younger voters, but Obama stayed more competitive than Sanders did among those older than 45. On both sides, John Edwards, as a strong third contender, also somewhat muted the contrasts. In 2008, Clinton ran 34 percentage points better among seniors than with those under 30; this week, the gap was 55 points.
Obama beat Clinton by 20 percentage points among voters younger than 30, while she beat him by 25 points among voters older than 65, according to a cumulative analysis of the results of all the exit polls in the 2008 Democratic primary conducted by ABC pollster Gary Langer. Voters in the middle-aged groups divided more narrowly: Obama carried those aged 30-44 by 11 points, and Clinton carried the near retirement generation (45 to 64) by seven, according to Langer’s analysis.
But when it comes to piling up votes, one of these demographic advantages is much more useful than the other. Across all of the 2008 contests, according to Langer’s calculations, voters older than 45 cast fully 61 percent of Democratic votes, while those younger than 45 cast 39 percent. That’s an advantage for Clinton. And it’s a slightly worrisome note for Sanders—a cloud passing on an otherwise sunny day—that young voters cast a slightly smaller share of the total Iowa Democratic vote in 2016 than 2008.
Still, Sanders’s overwhelming margins among Iowa’s younger voters—which exceeded even Obama’s 2008 showing—affirmatively answered the first critical question for the Vermont senator’s campaign: Would the connection with young voters evident at his rallies translate to the ballot box?
As always, I expect Hillary to win the nomination, but it's an extremely much more interesting contest than it was looking to be in mid-2015, when most people --- once again --- expected Clinton to waltz to the nomination.
Thank goodness for Bernie for making it a race.
Still more (via Memeorandum).
Jackie Johnson's Warming Weather Forecast
Via CBS News 2 Los Angeles:
Latest New Hampshire Republican Poll Shows Donald Trump with 24-Point Lead Over Ted Cruz
It's interesting. Trump lost two percentage points to Cruz overnight following the Iowa caucuses, but still hold a huge double-digit lead. And as I reported earlier, he's back in vintage form along the campaign trail.
Here, "Latest N.H. Tracking Poll: Trump Leads GOP, Cruz and Rubio":
Trump-38 Cruz-14 Rubio-10 Kasich-9 Bush-9 Christie-5... in Day 2 of our @UML_CPO @7News #FITN tracking poll https://t.co/8rcR1nQnty— UML Public Opinion (@UML_CPO) February 2, 2016
Donald Trump, at 38 percent support among likely voters, continues to lead all candidates in the Republican primary, but 44 percent of Republicans polled reported that they could still change their mind before Feb. 9. Voters who support Trump remain the most sure of their choice at 69 percent, but this is down from 72 percent in yesterday’s tracking poll results. Support for other GOP candidates is less firm with half or more of voters who favor candidates including Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie and Rand Paul saying they could change their minds.From the poll highlights:
The GOP field also saw some movement since yesterday, with Trump’s nearest rivals Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio each gaining two points among likely Republican primary voters polled. Cruz, who won yesterday’s Iowa caucus, is at 14 percent and Rubio is at 10 percent. John Kasich and Jeb Bush are tied at 9 percent, Chris Christie is at 5 percent, Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina at 3 percent and Rand Paul at 2 percent. Mike Huckabee, who has suspended his campaign, had zero percent among voters polled...
Trump is the frontrunner in a race without a clear challenger. Cruz takes 12% of the vote, while former governors John Kasich and Jeb Bush take 9% each, Senator Marco Rubio takes 8%, while former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie gets the support of 7% of likely voters. No other candidate is above 3% and former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee did not receive support (zero) from any Republican likely voters surveyed. Trump’s voters are the most certain, with 72% saying that their votes are definite, while 28% say that they “could change their mind.” For candidates like Bush and Rubio, majorities (59% and 57%, respectively) say they could change their mind.Also, "UMass Lowell/7News: Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 1."
Trump’s support is strongest among men and those with lower levels of education. Those whose highest level of education is a high school diploma (and below) support Trump at 46%,compared to those with a post graduate degree who support Trump at only 18%. Interestingly, Trump’s support is consistent across income levels, between Independents and Republicans and between Moderates and Conservatives. In fact, the only demographic category in which another candidate is preferred to Trump is among those who we identified as being very religious (attend church at least once a week and view scriptures as without any flaws). The most religious voters apparently prefer Ted Cruz to Trump, albeit by a narrow and not statistically significant margin, 7% to 24%.
How Ted Cruz Engineered His Iowa Triumph
He's so extremely good, at Bloomberg.
And buy his book, The Victory Lab: The Secret Science of Winning Campaigns.
Swagger, Curses, and Confidence: Donald Trump Returns to Form in New Hampshire (VIDEO)
Following-up from earlier, "Donald Trump Lashes Out at Iowa Voters and Media."
At the Washington Post, "In a return to New Hampshire, Donald Trump returns to form":
Donald Trump seems to be back to his old self in New Hampshire tonight. He has the stage all to himself and has much more energy.
— Jenna Johnson (@wpjenna) February 3, 2016
On foreign policy issues, Donald Trump says: "Wouldn't you rather to have Trump as president?"
— Jenna Johnson (@wpjenna) February 3, 2016
Number of times tonight Donald Trump has promised to "beat the shit" out of Islamic State terrorists: Two.
— Jenna Johnson (@wpjenna) February 3, 2016
Donald Trump accuses Ted Cruz's campaign of telling Iowa voters that Ben Carson was dropping out of the race -- which has yet to happen.
— Jenna Johnson (@wpjenna) February 3, 2016
Donald Trump takes a break from talking about campaign spending to point at reporters, glare and say: "Dishonest people!"
— Jenna Johnson (@wpjenna) February 3, 2016
Donald Trump shout-out to Ann Coulter: "Where is our Ann? Where is our Ann? ... Stand up, Ann. Oh, she is standing up."
— Jenna Johnson (@wpjenna) February 3, 2016
After a weekend of back-to-back rallies that were barely 40 minutes long each,Trump filled a full 55 minutes in New Hampshire tonight.
— Jenna Johnson (@wpjenna) February 3, 2016
MILFORD, N.H. — Donald Trump returned to New Hampshire on Tuesday night with the stakes as high as ever for his presidential campaign, determined to showcase his political resilience after his second-place finish in the Iowa caucuses and rouse his supporters with a rally that was a raucous return to form.More.
There was swagger, curses and confidence, and thousands of people packed into an athletic center, all bundled up in winter coats and many toting signs.
Speaking for more than 55 minutes, Trump revived the talking points that have defined his campaign: He slammed former Florida governor Jeb Bush. He promised to crack down on illegal immigration, build a wall on the border and bring back jobs from overseas. He criticized career politicians and accused them of selling their influence.
And the crowd roared when he cursed as he pledged to aggressively target Islamic State terrorists. "If we are attacked, somebody attacks us, wouldn't you rather have Trump as president if we're attacked?" he asked. "We'll beat the [expletive] out of them."
But first came a little reflection — and a few digs at the pundits who have described the Iowa victory by Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) as a humbling and disappointing moment for the mogul...
WATCH: Rachel Maddow Gets Orgasmic Discussing Socialist Bernie Sanders' 'Big Victory' in Iowa (VIDEO)
Watch, "Rachel Maddow: Tonight's Iowa result against Clinton 'is such a big victory for Bernie Sanders'."
High Expectations as Campaigns Move Toward the New Hampshire Primaries (VIDEO
Watch, "What candidates need to do going into the New Hampshire primaries."