Commentary and analysis on American politics, culture, and national identity, U.S. foreign policy and international relations, and the state of education
- from a neoconservative perspective! - Keeping an eye on the communist-left so you don't have to!
Plus, while searching around for a new image, and also from a Cindy fan (Victor Field) at the comments, it turns out that the topless shot is from a Herb Ritts photo-shoot for Playboy in 1988. I also found this awesome gallery of Cindy Crawford cover shots over the years. And in other (not so great news), Pepsi's pulling out of the Superbowl advertizing blitz for 2010. Previous years have featured Cindy Crawford guzzling soda out of a can. What a babe. (Ads are going to the Internet, so at least I'm in the right business.) Added: Just found the Pepsi ad:
Ace commenter Kreiz suggested some Smashing Pumpkins after last night's Jessica Simpson entry. I checked around for some clips. I like "Tonight, Tonight," which was Kreiz's pick, but the embed was disabled. I'll find another and post it. That, along with "Zero" as well, which I really dig. Meanwhile, enjoy No Doubt's "Don't Speak." Especially good here is the acoustic guitar break solo. Always loved it in the studio version, and it's a cool stage setup at the viddy ... more sounds later:
By the way, the commercial video that accompanied this song on initial release is one of the coolest clips from the '90s. No Doubt's a local Orange County band, and Gwen Stefani's live performance hipness is unsurpassed in that footage (here).
It is a six-inch long packet of the high explosive chemical called PETN, less than a half cup in volume, weighing about 80 grams.
A government test with 50 grams of PETN blew a hole in the side of an airliner. That was the amount in the bomb carried by the so-called shoe bomber Richard Reid over Christmas 2001.
The underpants bomb would have been one and a half times as powerful.
This video shows a remote-controlled test explosion with 20 grams of PETN:
Just think if Abdul Mutallab's detonator functioned correctly - Jesus!
The man who authorities say strapped a highly powerful explosive to his torso and tried to detonate it in midair never would have gotten aboard the plane if a different security detector had been used when he boarded the flight, security experts and officials say.
"Puffer" machines, full-body imaging scanners, a simple frisk or bomb-sniffing dogs all would likely have detected the chemical explosive PETN, experts say. But Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, the 23-year-old Nigerian suspected of trying to blow up Northwest Flight 253 on Christmas Day, encountered none of those deterrents when he traveled from Nigeria to Amsterdam and ultimately to Detroit.
Abdulmutallab may likely have passed through a magnetometer, the conventional metal detector used at most airports. It's a sophisticated a device that detects firearms, box-cutters, belt buckles and nail clippers — but it's useless in finding a small amount of powder capable of bringing down an airliner packed with passengers.
PETN is the primary ingredient in detonating cords used for industrial explosions and can be collected by scraping the insides of the wire, said James Crippin, a Colorado explosives expert. Used in military devices and readily found in blasting caps, the chemical is stable and safe to handle but requires a primary explosive to detonate it.
PETN was a component of the explosive that Richard Reid — the convicted "shoe bomber" — used in 2001 in his failed attempt to down an airliner. It also was used in an assassination attempt on the Saudi counterterrorism operations chief in August, according to the Saudi government.
Authorities say Abdulmutallab hid a quantity of PETN in a condom-like bag just below his torso when he boarded the plane in Amsterdam, and that he tried to create an explosion on board by injecting a liquid into it with a syringe.
After an alleged terrorist unsuccessfully tried to detonate his explosive underwear on a Christmas Day flight to Detroit, current and former American officials are now using the failed attack to push for more airport scanners to spot such explosives — and a lot more.
The Transportation Security Administration in recent years has tried out a series of “whole-body imagers” to look for threats that typical metal detectors can’t find. These systems are the only way that smuggled explosives, like the one officials say was brought on the Christmas flight, can be reliably found.
“You’ve got to find some way of detecting things in parts of the body that aren’t easy to get at,” former Homeland Security chief Michael Chertoff told The Washington Post. “It’s either pat-downs or imaging.”
Well, folks will have to be electronically strip-searched if they're going to fly. Otherwise, the terrorists have won.
TMZ reports reports on Playboy's confirmation that the alleged John F. Kennedy-nude women photo was published in Playboy Magazine in 1967. (Check the Smoking Gun's post for more on the background, "TMZ Falls For JFK Photo Hoax.")
Now, while TMZ is perhaps the leading gossip webzine in operation today, its retraction is an excellent example of journalistic standards bloggers ought to respect.
Frankly, following TMZ's example, Ackerman should issue his own apology and retraction. I'm not holding my breath. Both Charles Cooper at CBS and Darren Lenard Hutchinsonstill owe me an apology for their epic-fail posts from November (the latter attacking me as "Rightwing Fecal Matter").
I'm also waiting for E.D. Kain to publicly apologize for his campaign of intimidation and threats to my livelihood after he contacted my administration to get American Power to STFU. He's flatly said he had no responsibility to air his quarrels at the his blog, although he'd done exactly that previously -- in debate with Dan Riehl -- when the stakes weren't as potentially devastating to his already sullied reputation.
I've taken down two post recently. Luckily, readers and fellow bloggers caught my mistakes before they were widely distributed around the web. Had they caught the attention of the targets, I would have published an apology. It's simply a matter of principle. Some folks have it, even those at TMZ, and some don't.
US President Barack Obama on Monday vowed an all-out pursuit of plotters of a failed Christmas Day bombing of a US-bound airliner, vowing "we will not rest" until they are captured and tried.
"A full investigation has been launched into this attempted act of terrorism and we will not rest until we find all who were involved and hold them accountable," Obama said in his first direct public comment since a 23-year-old Nigerian allegedly tried to blow up Northwest Airlines Flight 253 as it approached Detroit.
A U.S. government that has barred the phrase "war on terror" has nonetheless acknowledged that a failed Christmas day bomb attack on an airliner was a terrorist attempt. Can we all now drop the pretense that we stopped fighting a war once Dick Cheney and George W. Bush left the White House?
The attempt by 23-year-old Nigerian Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab follows the alleged murders in Ft. Hood, Texas by Islamist-inspired Major Nidal Hasan in November. Brian Jenkins, who studies terrorism for the Rand Corporation, says there were more terror incidents (12), including thwarted plots, on U.S. soil in 2009 than in any year since 2001. The jihadists don't seem to like Americans any better because we're closing down Guantanamo.
This increasing terror tempo makes the Obama Administration's reflexive impulse to treat terrorists like routine criminal suspects all the more worrisome. It immediately indicted Mr. Abdulmutallab on criminal charges of trying to destroy an aircraft, despite reports that he told officials he had ties to al Qaeda and had picked up his PETN explosive in Yemen. The charges mean the Nigerian can only be interrogated like any other defendant in a criminal case, subject to having a lawyer present and his Miranda rights read.
There was no unifying single goal of the Tea Partiers and no agency or party directing them. This means that the raw power behind them just might go untapped because there will be no way to translate the passion to power. Every transformative movement has been led by a single man and his small group of powerful adherents but the Tea Party movement has no such leader and might just find that its passion will dissipate until there is nothing left but disgruntled followers.
Don't get me wrong, I love the passion and was thrilled by the hundreds of Tea Parties with their millions of participants as it happened across this land in 2009. I was heartened that so many Americans were standing up to the anti-American left like that. But how do we channel that passion into something that can lead to positive change?
Without question powerful change needs is a leader. Unfortunately, unless a leader steps forward that can gather all those many Tea Party strings into a single strong rope, it is likely that the whole thing will just pass away and be left a footnote in history.
Actually, I've written about precisely this problem. I'm especially worried that the tea parties coalesce into a formal third-party movement to challenge the Demcrats and Republicans in the two-party system. That will kill the movement most of all. See my essay, "A Battle Within? Emerging Divisions in the Tea Party Movement." As I said there:
My hope is that the tea partiers can come to some accomodation with the most conservative leaders of the Republican Party, especially Sarah Palin. Our movement needs to work within the structural constraints of the single-member, winner-take-all system. This does not mean we need to compromise our constitutional principles of limited government and our moral foundations in divine historical exceptionalism. We do need vigorous but more centralized leadership, that's for sure, because the time is now for a conservative resurgence.
I've also suggested that Congresswoman Michele Bachmann stands with Governor Palin as the two most important potential leaders of the movement's possible merger with the base of the GOP. On that note, folks might take a look at this piece from the Los Angeles Times, "Michele Bachmann is Welcome at Tea Parties":
The Republican congresswoman from Minnesota has become a rare elected official to be embraced by the vocal small-government activists. And the GOP is taking note ....
In two terms in Congress, Bachmann has often used hyperbole and political theatrics to make headlines. And recently, she has achieved a rare feat: winning the trust of the anti-incumbent, small-government "tea party" activists who distrust most elected officials. And that puts Bachmann in a position of rising influence.
Republicans fear that the tea party conservatives will run their own candidates for office and drain votes from the GOP. In two recent polls, more voters had a high opinion of the tea party movement than of the Republican Party (and in one poll, higher than of the Democratic Party). The movement is blamed for tipping one House race already, a special election in upstate New York last month, to the Democrats.
Now, as the tea party crowd tries to organize and raise money for next year's Senate and House elections, Republican leaders are taking note of Bachmann's special rapport with the groups.
A new GOP website aimed at rebutting President Obama's jobs proposal, which features only a few lawmakers, includes Bachmann along with Republican leaders. And recently, the Republican National Committee put Bachmann on a conference call to discuss healthcare with a host of grass-root groups, including tea party activists.
"There's no question that congresswoman Bachmann fires up the base," said LeRoy Coleman, a spokesman for the Republican National Committee. "She's a powerful and galvanizing voice for this party."
That is not how all Republicans see Bachmann, 53, who once said that she was "hot for Jesus" and is quick to call Obama's governing plans "socialism." Some want to keep her at arm's length.
When Bachmann declared that she would ignore almost all questions on the census form, calling it an unconstitutional effort to collect personal data, three fellow House Republicans called her stance "illogical, illegal and not in the best interest of our country."
When former Secretary of State Colin L. Powell last year crossed party lines and endorsed Obama, he cited Bachmann's suggestion that Obama held "anti-American views," calling it "nonsense."
And in a survey this month by National Journal magazine, Republican members of Congress named Bachmann as being among the colleagues they would "most like to mute."
But her over-the-top comments have also turned Bachmann into a favorite of a conservative movement that believes the GOP has wandered from its traditional values. She is one of just two elected officials scheduled to speak at a national tea party convention in February. (The other represents Tennessee, where the convention will be held.)
"She can be derided by the political establishment and the media for being too abrasive. . . . But those people aren't trusted by members of the tea party," said Joe Wierzbicki, a spokesman for the California-based Tea Party Express. "Michele Bachmann is."
As an ambassador to the activists, Bachmann has tried to tamp down talk among tea party groups that they should form their own political party.
"I think this coalition will fit under a tent that's literally fashioned out of the parchment of the Declaration of Independence and the Constitution," she said in an interview. "I think that what we'll do is emphasize the issues of commonality.
"The greater good right now is to defeat the move toward collectivism, as being advocated at a breakneck speed by the Obama administration," she said.
As a tea party confidant, Bachmann is in scarce company. Activists consider former vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin to be a leader, and TV show host Glenn Beck, but few elected officials.
Somewhere in between the highly publicized rounds of golf and strolls on the beach that President Obama is currently taking while on vacation in Hawaii, someone in his inner circle needs to tell him there’s an important lesson to be learned from the failed terrorist attack on Northwest Airlines Flight 253. That lesson is that our posture towards terrorists (and terrorism) matters.
Let’s begin by agreeing that every successful terrorist attack against the United States doubles as a recruitment video for rabid jihadists, eager to spill the blood of infidels and strike terror in the heart of the “great Satan.”
We saw this after the Ft. Hood shootings on November 5, when militants Islamists took to American streets the very next day:
The message that should be taken from what took place yesterday at Ft. Hood … is that this war will be fought on American soil. That the blood of … American military personnel will run in the very streets they were raised in.
But when a terrorist attack is publicly thwarted, as was Abdul Farouk Abdulmutallab’s attempt to ignite the incendiary material in his underwear on Northwest Airlines Flight 253 on Christmas Day, militants aren’t as quick to take to the streets. In fact, they hastily distance themselves from the incompetent bomber by denying his ties to al-Qaeda (although we already knew he was tied to al-Qaeda).
Citizens understand this. Thus when passengers smelled the smoke Abdulmutallab created while trying to carry out his attack, they jumped him, subdued him, and dragged him to the front of the plane. As Fox News reported on December 26, 2009:
Experts say an aggressive response from passengers has become the common response [to attempted terror attacks] since … 9/11.
But where is Obama’s “aggressive response”? What do average everyday citizens know that he doesn’t?
For starters, they know that the militant Islamists are bent on killing Westerners, and Americans in particular. And although as recently as Sunday, December 27, NPR had not retracted its position that Abdulmutallab only had “possible ties to terrorism,” citizens aboard Northwest Airlines Flight 253 had enough common sense to know that Abdulmutallab was attempting a terrorist act whether NPR-type thinkers could ascertain it or not.
More importantly, they knew his actions required an overpowering reaction.
The Memphis Commercial Appealreported Saturday that Ibrahim faced terrorism charges after threatening to blow up seven local businesses. He told proprietors at the BP gas station that "If you don't close this place up, I'm going to blow it to pieces." The police report indicates that Ibrahim had Islamist paraphernalia in his car, and he was carrying a butcher knife. Responding to news reports, a number of commenterson therightareappropriatelyquestioningthe decision to release this man on bail. But to the politically correct River Mud Company blog, a menacing jihadist, armed with a deadly weapon, treathening mass destruction, is just a "lone wacko." Not only that, he's a cool wacko, since he's scared the real enemey, conservatives tired left Fort Hood apologists:
I’d wager this guy doesn’t even belong to a mosque at all, much less some sleeper cell.
All that aside, we’re talking about a guy with a butcher knife up his sleeve threatening to blow up random East Memphis gas stations on Christmas Day. Not an airplane, not a skyscraper, but the corner dine and dash. That’s not an attack on Western civilization, it’s the behavior of a disturbed individual. To his credit, though, if he was trying to scare people, he certainly frightened the wingnuts.
I suppose they have a point. Between the threat to democracy posed by this dude and the attack on our freedoms from that other guy who set his balls on fire, how can Liberty survive?
The link at the quote goes to the communist Alternet. That "guy trying to set his balls on fire" is now under worldwide investigation for a near-catastrophic security breach that threatened hundreds of lives. The bomb materials Abdul Mutallab sought to deploy are among the most powerfulcurrently available. In addition to the horrific loss of life, a succcessful attack could have shut down the U.S. and international aviation industry -- and the global economy -- on the scale of September 11, 2001.
So, yeah, there might be just a couple of reasons to take seriously these "lone" jihadis looking to kill untold numbers of people in an escalating holy war on the West. But it's not just the Abduls nd the Mohameds folks need to look out for. It's also the radical leftists are in total solidarity with these murderous demons, the communist-Islamist alliance against freedom.
I was reminded of Jessica Simpson while watching the Dallas game tonight. Tony Romo's a playa I guess, but I'd still be hangin' with Jessica. And now she's gettin' hot for Billy Corgan? Cant' see why. But no matter: Jessica was out and about for the Christmas holidays in New York City, and she looks simply fabulous -- sans make-up, a real turn-on in my book. According to a celebrity blog, "Jessica Simpson looks real fresh in these candid shots. I say this girl looks better with only a little make-up on. Her outfit looks great too." I couldn't agree more. More pics here, "Jessica and the Simpsons Gather For Christmas in NYC."
Qassam rockets -- named after Izz al-Din al-Qassam, the militant Syrian preacher and Muslim Brotherhood member killed in 1935 while fighting British and Zionist forces in Palestine -- are the most recent innovation in attacks on Israeli civilians. Hamas first introduced them in Gaza in September 2001, about a year after the start of the second intifada. Although Hamas has the most advanced rocket manufacturing and launching capabilities, other groups have made similar weapons a staple of their arsenals, including Palestinian Islamic Jihad (Quds rockets), the al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades (al-Aqsa rockets), and the Popular Resistance Committees (Nasser rockets).
EVERY DAY the dangers to Israel's security and very survival mount. At this time, the government and the people of Israel need to be able to trust in the IDF's ability to defend the country. Rather than earning that trust, those tasked with our defense are spending their time berating the political leadership for their own failures. Moreover, they are expressing a disturbing desire to pass the buck on fighting Israel's enemies while aggressively hounding Israelis.
CROWLEY: So, just to finish up on the question-- I do want to talk to you about security measures -- but do you think -- has there been any evidence of the Al Qaida ties that this suspect has been claiming?
NAPOLITANO: Right now, that is part of the criminal justice investigation that is ongoing, and I think it would be inappropriate to speculate as to whether or not he has such ties.
What we are focused on is making sure that the air environment remains safe, that people are confident when they travel. And one thing I’d like to point out is that the system worked. Everybody played an important role here. The passengers and crew of the flight took appropriate action. Within literally an hour to 90 minutes of the incident occurring, all 128 flights in the air had been notified to take some special measures in light of what had occurred on the Northwest Airlines flight. We instituted new measures on the ground and at screening areas, both here in the United States and in Europe, where this flight originated.
So the whole process of making sure that we respond properly, correctly and effectively went very smoothly.
It's mindboggling, especially live. Napolitano looks almost like a travel industry booster. She refuses to "speculate" on the suspect's ties to Islamist militants. She has no clue as to how close the U.S. came to another catastrophic terror nightmare:
I think Candy Crowley had Napolitano pinned down there for a second, on this comment about how the atttacker "was one individual literally of thousands that fly and thousands of flights every year." Crowley rightly follows up with " you are right, this was one individual, but that’s really all it takes," but then goes into her own long soliloquy that blows the moment. But check Napolitano's interview with Jake Tapper on ABC's "This Week":
Again we get this line that "the traveling public is safe." But what's most troubling is how the secretary keeps suggesting not only that "the system worked," but that "the passengers did their job." Hello! It's not the passengers' job to interdict terrorists! Whoa! The transcript is here. When Tapper asks about an investigation into the TSA's delays in deploying the latest screening technology, Napolitano replies:
Well, without going into the accuracy or inaccuracy of that particular report, new technology has been deployed, but there is a more important point to be made, which is that, A, technology is evolving all the time, it's not a static situation.
And B, even with the most sophisticated technology, everybody needs to play a part in their security. That's why I think the actions of the passengers and the crew on this flight deserve praise. That's why the men and women who have been working really overtime Christmas Day, yesterday, whatever, to make sure that all other flights remain safe, why that system is so important.
In any case, there's lots of disbelief and outrage on the right. Jonah Goldberg says Napolitano should be fired (via Memeorandum). Michelle Malkinadds that Napolitano's "hapless first-responder mentality is simply a reflection of the man who hired her." And from Darleen Click, "Janet Napolitano — open bets on firing resignation day."
The Iranian capital erupted in massive and fiery morning-to-dusk protests as tens of thousands of demonstrators clashed with security forces on the occasion of an important Shiite Muslim holiday.
Several witnesses told The Times that Iranian security forces opened fire with live ammunition against unarmed protesters near College Bridge in in the capital. And opposition news websites reported that several protesters had been killed, including Ali Mousavi, the adult nephew of opposition figurehead Mir-Hossein Mousavi.
Reformist websites said he was shot and taken to a Tehran hospital, where his uncle and other relatives soon arrived.
The information could not be independently confirmed, and a police source denied that protesters had been killed in a comment to the pro-government Fars News Agency.
But a witness in front of City Theater in downtown Tehran said she saw a fallen man, apparently stabbed in the back, and spotted another man falling to the ground after a volley of shots was fired near Enghelab Street, which emerged as the epicenter of the day's clashes.
The reports of deaths came during a harrowing day of multiple, rolling clashes between police and Iranian protesters coinciding with an important Ashura religious commemoration as well as the significant seventh day of mourning following the death of the country's leading dissident cleric, Ayatollah Hossein Ali Montazeri.
Reformist websites and witnesses also reported clashes in the cities of Qom, Esfahan, Najafabad, Kashan, Shiraz, Babol and Mashhad.
Demonstrators vowed to continue the protests into the night, with reformist news websites identifying key Tehran squares for gatherings.
"There is no let-up," said Farzad, a 30-year-old who attended today's protests with his girlfriend. "We will go ahead until we topple the government."
Across the capital, witnesses described scenes of pandemonium, which were confirmed by video footage posted online. One described Tehran as a war zone, and another likened the situation to open "civil war" as increasingly bold demonstrators took on security forces, in one case stripping a member of the security forces naked before letting him go, a witness said.
Despite a heavy crackdown, the protest movement that emerged from Iran's disputed June 12 presidential election has grown increasingly daring, with those who want abolition of the Islamic Republic increasingly vocal.
Protesters had vowed for weeks to turn today's annual Ashura commemoration marking the 7th century martyrdom of Imam Hossein into an anti-government demonstration.
The authorities are taking a risk in using lethal force against protesters during the Islamic Moharram, during which war and bloodshed is deemed to be religiously haram, or forbidden. It raises the likelihood of a series of mourning cycles, as required by Shia tradition. It was such a mourning cycle that fatally undermined the Shah's regime when it tried to suppress demonstrations in 1978.
I'm thinking about the circumstances surrounding the attack on Northwest Flight 253. I always do whenever there's another terrorist attack. I'm especially intrigued -- no bothered, actually -- by the response of the leftists. I've commented already on folks like Spencer Ackerman and Matthew Yglesias, inveterate America-bashers, so no need to rehash it. No, my sense is that even level-headed folks fail to appreciate the transformation in circumstances of American and international life since September 11, 2001 -- a transformation that had been building for sometime, as in the nature of global conflict and the increasingly catastrophic incidence of attacks on citizens of the United States and elsewhere. We don't think too often about this, since the possibility of personal danger seems so far removed for most people -- but also because it's been almost ten years since the attacks on New York and Washington. Time heals all wounds, so in that sense our healing has also made us increasingly impervious to the continuing threat of diabolical terrorism.
Northwest Flight 253 (Northwest is the parent company of Delta) sits on the runway in Detroit, having landed safely after an alleged attempted terrorist attack. Credit: J.P. Karas / Associated Press (Source).
I read some portions this afternoon from Brigitte L. Nacos' textbook, Terrorism and Counterterrorism: Understanding Threats and Responses in the Post 9/11 World. One passage from the introduction was quite moving, regarding the perception of danger in the age of postmodern terrorism. Nacos writes of the consensus perceptions of terrorism in 2001 and earlier:
Even before the dust had settled around the totally destroyed World Trade Center and the partially demolished Pentagon, people in the United States and abroad began to recognize that this terrorist assault pushed the United States and much of the world into a crisis that seemed equally dangerous as, or perhaps more explosive than, the Cold War conflict between the Soviet Union and the United States and their respective allies in the decades following the end of World War II. In some quarters, the end of the Cold War had fueled expectations for an even greater international understanding and cooperation and a "peace dividend" that would better the economic conditions in the underdeveloped world along with improvements in the industrialized nations. But during the 1990s, such dreams did not come true. Instead, there was a troubling wave of conflicts in many parts of the world.
Instant commentary in the media compared 9/11 with the Japanese attacks on Pearl Harbor sixty years earlier, claiming that both incidents had been as unexpected as bolts of lightening from a blue sky. Indeed, two months before the kamikaze flights into the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, a former counterterrorism specialist in the U.S. Department of State wrote in an op-ed article in the New York Times, "Judging from news reports and the portrayals of villains in our popular entertainment, Americans are bedeviled by fantasies about terrorism. They seem to believe that terrorism is the greatest threat to the United States and that it is becoming more widespread and lethal.... Nothing of these beliefs are based on facts" But others warned for years that the United States and other Western countries should brace for catastrophic terrorism that would result in mass disruption and mass destruction. Walter Laqueur, a leading terrorism expert, for example, who had characterized terrorism in the past as an irritant rather than a major threat, came to a different judgment at the end of the 1990s, when he concluded,
Terrorism has been with us for centuries, and it has always attracted inordinate attention because of its dramatic character and its sudden, often wholly unexepected occurrence. It has been a tragedy for the victims, but seen in historical perspective it seldom has been more than a nuisance.... This is no longer true today, and may even be less so in the future. Yesterday's nuisance has become one of the gravest dangers facing mankind.
Several horrific incidents in the 1990s and certainly the events of 9/11 proved the pessimists right and ended the threat debate. One could argue that the new age of terrorism began in December 1988 with the downing of Pan Am flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland, caused by a terrorist bomb that killed a total of 270 civilians on board (most of them Americans) and on the ground (all of them Scots). This was, at the time, the single most devastating act of terrorism in terms of number of victims. Actually, nearly as many Americans were killed when extremists of the Lebanese Hezbollah drove an explosive-laden truck into the U.S. Marine barracks near the Beirut airport in 1983. But while the victims were deployed as peacekeepers and thus were not combatants in the sense of fighting a war, they nevertheless were not civilians like the passengers and crew aboard Pan Am flight 103 and the people who died on the ground in Lockerbie ... whether civilians or members of the military are targets or victims figures prominently into the discussions of what kinds of violent acts constitute terrorism. The fate of Pan Am flight 103 in 1988, along with the Oklahoma City bombing in 1995 that caused the death of 168 persons, represented turning points in the lethality of terror. Until these events, the widely held supposition was that "terrorists want a lot of people watching and a lot of people listening and not a lot of people dead." But after Pan Am flight 103 and the terror of Oklahoma City, this assumption is no longer valid.
The remainder of the introduction is equally fascinating. A key point mentioned is that while there has in fact been a declining trend in the number of terrorist attacks since the 1980s, there has been a concommitant tendency for increasingly spectacular incidents -- and importantly, this increase has been marked by the dramatic rise of religious terrorism, "the use of violence for political ends by groups whose motivations and justifications are couched in religious convictions, terms, and symbols."
Of all the lessons learned in this painful decade, the most terrifying by far is that the West faces a long-term challenge from radical Islam. Crucial ideas about the future of democracy will increasingly focus on the passionate, articulate jihadist movement that is now making war on the West and everything the West cherishes.
There’s small comfort to be found in the fact that most Muslims deplore violence. Even if Islamists and their sympathizers are only a tiny minority, the vehemence and dedication of their movement can exert great influence in many countries. One Islamist dream, to begin by introducing shariah law, is not crazy. There are politicians who think of it as an interesting compromise.
What should worry us, at this stage, is our response to Islamists. Are we strong enough to fight them off? They assume we are not. They consider us lazy, decadent and complacent — and they have plenty of evidence to support their argument.
The fact that Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab was able to trigger his home-made incendiary device on board a US airliner represents an intelligence and security failure of staggering proportions.
Tough questions need to be asked of not just the US security agencies – such as the CIA and the FBI – but also of Britain's MI6, MI5 and the Metropolitan Police's counter-terrorist unit.
How can a Muslim student, whose name appears on a US law enforcement database, be granted a visa to travel to America, allegedly acquire an explosive device from Yemen, a country awash with al-Qaeda terrorists, and avoid detection from the world's most sophisticated spy agencies?
Every intelligence agency across the world is fully aware that the targets of choice for al-Qaeda and its numerous affiliates and sympathisers are airliners – preferably those flying to the US. Yet Abdulmutallab seems to have avoided detection in both Nigeria and Holland when he passed through the various security checks at Lagos and Schiphol airports respectively.
Embarrassingly for the Washington, Lagos airport had recently been given the "all clear" by the US's Transportation Security Administration, an agency established in the wake of the 9/11 attacks which was supposed to improve the security on American airliners.
Attacking airlines is not exactly new territory for al-Qaeda. After 9/11, Richard Reid, a British Muslim convert, tried to blow up a transatlantic airliner by detonating explosives hidden in his shoes. More recently, Britain was the base for the so-called liquid bomb plot when a group of British Islamists plotted to destroy up to 10 US bound airliners in a series of attacks designed to kill thousands.
As 9/11 showed, for a relatively cheap outlay- the cost of the operation was estimated at round £300,000 – the impact of an airline attack can be global: the desired conclusion for every al-Qaeda mission.
Yet Abdulmutallab, a 23-year Nigerian, who US officials said studied mechanical engineering at University College in London, came frighteningly close to committing a terrorist atrocity undetected.
If you missed it, check out Air Canada's "traveladvisory."
Also, at the New York Times, "New Restrictions Are Imposed on Air Passengers": "The restrictions will again change the routine of air travel, which has undergone an upheaval since the terrorist attacks in New York and Washington in September 2001 and three attempts at air terrorism since then."
There will be more attempts in the future. But Democrats will continue to pooh-pooh the threats, and radicals like Spencer Ackerman and Matthew Yglesias will laugh at what a "joke" al Qaeda is, while calling for a "law enforcement" approach that's careful not to inflame tender Muslim sensibilities, insh'allah.
William Jacobson wrote an important post this morning on the leftist reaction to the attempted bombing of Northwest Airlines 253. See, "Terrorist Attacks Plane, Think Progress Attacks Pete Hoekstra." Checking William's essay we find that the first reaction of radical bloggers is to deny conservatives a partisan advantage on national security. Steve Benen's entry was the most egregious, "PETE HOEKSTRA, SHAMELESSBUFFOON...." Basically, amid a security threat that even the administration's taking seriously, radical leftists are reduced to namecalling.
But there's something more significant to consider with regards to how the left perceives this terror plot. I'm reading Spencer Ackerman's post on this, "al-Qaeda’s Desperate Bid For Relevance, The Failed Plane Attack & Afghanistan." Despite his purported national security "credentials," Spencer Ackerman's woefully unserious about war and terrorism. Recall that this is the guy who called for President George W. Bush's death at the Hague, and for that reason alone his rants will garner the attention of leftist foreign policy vultures. A good example of this childishness is Ackerman's tweet from yesterday, seen here:
Then at his essay, he links to this tweet from Dylan Matthews (we can infer that Matthews means Detroit, not Denver):
There's a huge logical leap from suggesting that Abdul Mutallab's attempted attack was amateurish to suggesting there's no al Qaeda threat justifying a U.S. presence in Afghanistan. But that's the thinking of people like this, and it's surprising how much play such unseriousness gets in leftist policy circles.
Ackerman links to Matthew Yglesias' post as well, from yesterday, "Not So Scary 'Terror'." Yglesias writes there:
Obviously, people shouldn’t be lighting anything on fire inside airplanes. That said, all the big Christmas airline incident really shows to me is how little punch our dread terrorist adversaries really pack. Once again, this seems like a pretty unserious plot. And even if you did manage to blow up an airplane in mid-air, that would be both a very serious crime and a great tragedy, but hardly a first-order national security threat.
I can't imagine the possibility of a single terrorist taking down a trans-Atlantic passenger airliner as being simply a "serious crime and great tragedy." While not on the scale of a strategic nuclear exchange, we minimize the serverity of such lower-grade terror attacks (dismissing them as "tragedies") at the risk of much greater -- even catastrophic -- threats to human life.
The plot to blow up an American passenger jet over Detroit was organized and launched by al Qaeda leaders in Yemen who apparently sewed bomb materials into the suspect's underwear before sending him on his mission, federal authorities tell ABC News.
Investigators say the suspect had more than 80 grams of PETN, a compound related to nitro-glycerin used by the military. The so-called shoe bomber, Richard Reid, had only about 50 grams kin his failed attempt in 2001 to blow up a U.S.-bound jet. Yesterday's bomb failed because the detonator may have been too small or was not in "proper contact" with the explosive material, investigators told ABC News.
Investigators say the suspect, Abdul Farouk Umar Abdulmutallab, a 23-year-old Nigerian student whose birthday was last Tuesday, has provided detailed information about his recruitment and training for what was supposed to be a Christmas Day suicide attack.
But even in the absence of evidence of al Qaeda's ties to the Abdul Mutallab, we know the nature of al Qaeda's threat has been transformed significantly since September 11, 2001. Audrey Kurth Cronin, an expert on international terrorism, and the author of "How al-Qaida Ends: The Decline and Demise of Terrorist Groups," has noted recently that al Qaeda today is a fractured organization with a decentralized leadership. The group is more of an idea than an actual entity. As such, there's little doubt of the seriousness of the threat, since follow-on organizations will likely take up the initative where Osama bin Laden left off. Indeed, Kurth Cronin suggests that while al Qaeda's capabilities have been significantly weakened, and Western leaders have indeed suffered from an over-emphasis on leadership decapitation, "Even in its diminished state, al Qaeda and its franchises remain armed and dangerous."
And this is to say nothing of the larger military and political threat from al Qaeda in South Asia. The nexus between Taliban operatives in Pakistan, the Lashkar terrorists implicated in the Mumbai attacks, and remnants of the al Qaeda operatives from pre-9/11 Afghanistan remains a central focus of American strategic planning and national security interests. (See, Bill Roggio, "Al Qaeda builds a 'Shadow Army'.")
It would thus be pure suicide to take serious the anti-American rants of "experts" such as Spencer Ackerman and his terrorist apology-brethren in the Democratic Party. Indeed, "Attackerman" is already walking back some of his more stupid ruminations from yesterday (without much success, for that matter).
Live blogging: I'm watching HBO's documentary, 'Terror in Mumbai'. This is a gripping production. Some of the witnesses are showing their injuries. The Mumbai killers walked slowly through the train station, killing indiscriminately. Blood is everywhere at the station. Mothers tried to protect babies. Some were shot dead.
10:16am: The video of the killing is so real. Unbelievable amounts of blood at the train station. The police had no training or preparation for such an attack ... The terrorists left the train station (Chhatrapati Shivaji), heading to the hotels ...
10:21am: Police intercept communications between the terrorists and the handlers in Pakistan. Attackers hit the Tiffin restaurant at the first hotel. Now the clips are from the Leopold Cafe. Fareed Zakaria, of CNN, is the narrator. He notes that the terrorists, poor villagers, are mezmerized by the opulence at the hotels. The videos are from hotel cameras mounted high on the walls. It's like the cameras are silent witnesses to evil ...
10:30am: The Taj hotel is set on fire. More communications between the terrorists and their controllers in Pakistan. Smoky inside the hotel. Fire blazing outside. Mumbai police gathering in the streets (afraid to storm the hotel...).
10:38: Mumbai's top three police commanders were killed. The city's security forces are in complete meltdown mode. There's an interview here with one of the surviving terrorists, Kasab. He describes his training in a terrorist indoctrination camp. It sounds like something from Pol Pot's Cambodia ... trained to kill, without remorse ...
10:42: Watching this, I get the feeling of how it all went down in real time. The controllers were ecstatic with the success of the operation ... they were thrilled that the entire world's media was watching the horror in Mumbai ...
10:44: Now, a pair of the killers are headed to Nariman House, the location of the Jewish hostel ... hostages are taken. More communications between the handlers in Pakistan and the terrorists ... victim's families are interviewed here. Mothers in tears at what happened ..
10:48: They program documents the capture of "Kasab," the terrorist who is interviewed. He says "we were all supposed to die ..." That is, the assault was a total suicide operation. Handlers have no respect for human life, not even those of their killers ... "For your mission to end successfully you must be killed ... God is waiting for you in heaven," the controller tells Fadahlallah, one of the gunmen ... "God willing, God willing" is the response from the killer in Mumbai ...
10:56: Now, videos of the commando raid at the Jewish house ...
11:05: It's over now.The film doesn't dwell on the killings of Rabbi Holtzberg and his wife Rivkah. Reports earlier indicated that they were targets all along. The film concludes with audio tapes of the Lashkar-e-Taiba plotters in Pakistan. The voice says, "you're just watching the trailer. The full movie is yet to come.
Then, Fareed Zakaria gives his final analysis: Pakistan security services are implicated, since Lashkar was established to fight in Kashmir. There's no disentangling state sponsorship here, which is a failure of American foreign policy, since Pakistan is our key "ally" in South Central Asia.
I'll have more analysis in a later post today. I'll be writing about the attempted airline plot in Detroit, and the left's reaction to it. Meanwhile, I found this report on Mumbai, "Sixty Hours of Terror: Ten Gunmen, Ten Minutes." I can't vouch for it's credibility, but it's worth a look for some of the information in any case ...
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