Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Republicans Poised for Big Gains in 2014 Midterms

Larry Sabato's joined Politico as a bi-weekly columnist. He's an interesting character and has a good track record.

Here's his first installment in promised running dialog on the 2014 congressional elections, "Republicans Really Could Win It All This Year" (via Memeorandum):
As 2014 begins, the environment for the Democrats in this election year is not good. The botched, chaotic rollout of the Affordable Care Act is the obvious cause, but it is broader than that: the typical sixth-year unease that produces a “send-them-a-message” election. Fortunately for Democrats, the GOP-initiated shutdown of the federal government in October has tempered the public’s desire for a shift to the Republican side, too. “None of the above” might win a few races in November if voters had the choice....

At this early stage, the combination of these three factors [the president, the economy and the election playing field] suggests a good election year for the GOP. The president is a Democrat and his approval is weak. The economy may be improving, based on GDP growth (4.1 percent in the third quarter), but voters still don’t believe their personal economy, at least, has picked up much. Instead, the major national issue of the moment is Obamacare, which at this point is a loser for Democrats. The structure of the election in the House and Senate also bends in the GOP direction.
Well, that's all very good and circumspect. For me, in a word, it's gonna be a blowout, especially in the Senate.

BONUS LULZ: BooMan thinks the Democrats will "break even" in the Senate (whatever that's supposed to mean) and retake the House of Representatives. Got that? Retake the House of Representatives! Bwahaha!! One of the reasons I can't wait for November is because I'm relishing ramming the election results in smug Democrat faces, especially BooMan's. Like I said, it's gonna a be blowout, especially in the Senate.