Thursday, June 25, 2009

Possible Iran Runoff Election!

From Iran Bureau, "25 June: Possible compromise?":

The following is from Mehdi Noorbaksh, Harrisburg University of Science and Technology:

There is a possibility, and I am saying a possibility, for a compromise on the election result among the involved parties in Iran in the next couple of days. I received a call from Iran late last night indicating that there is a possibility for a runoff between Mousavi and Ahmadinejad. There are a few points that we should consider in this context.

1. The Guardian Council all but acknowledged election irregularities a few days ago and indicated that it involved 3 million votes. This body did not restrict these irregularities to a few thousand or even a hundred thousand votes, but millions. That was a face saving gesture to open the door for a possible future compromise in the event of mounting pressure. There are other irregularities having the same nature. Many districts, up to 170, show voter turnout of 95% to 140% of the eligible voters.

2. Ali Larijani, the head of the Iranian parliament, is trying to convince the leadership on the side of the supreme leader to give national TV time to Mousavi to talk to the Iranian people. In his TV talk a couple of days ago, Larijani was critical of the Iranian national TV for not allowing Mousavi to use that medium of communication to talk to the Iranian people. He also announced that a few members of the Guardian Council were biased toward one candidate, namely Ahmadinejad, in the election.

3. There is report that Rafsanjani has succeeded to get the signatures and support of many of the high clerics in Qom denouncing the election. If they openly denounce the election that could be a colossal blow to the supreme leader, and the much diminished legitimacy of the institution of Velayat-e Faqih and his authority.

4. The Guardian Councils’ investigation of the vote fraud has been extended, possibly to gain more time in negotiating a solution to the conflict.
More at the link (or e-mail me for a full copy of the report).

The Washington Post has the story, "
Possible Runoff Vote, Power Struggle in Iran." And from the Los Angeles Times, "Iran Opposition lLader Mir-Hossein Mousavi Lashes Out; 70 Professors Arrested."

More news at The Lede, "
Latest Updates on Iran’s Disputed Election," Nico Pitney, "AHMADINEJAD LASHES OUT: Compares Obama To Bush," and Ed Morrissey, "Ahmadinejad Snubbed by Iranian Parliament."

Check updates at
Memeorandum as well.