Monday, August 31, 2009

Great News! 'Experts See Double-Digit Dem Losses' in 2010

The evidence is coming in that President Obama and the Dems are looking to a historic midterm rout in 2010:


After an August recess marked by raucous town halls, troubling polling data and widespread anecdotal evidence of a volatile electorate, the small universe of political analysts who closely follow House races is predicting moderate to heavy Democratic losses in 2010.

Some of the most prominent and respected handicappers can now envision an election in which Democrats suffer double-digit losses in the House — not enough to provide the 40 seats necessary to return the GOP to power but enough to put them within striking distance.

Top political analyst Charlie Cook, in a special August 20 update to subscribers, wrote that “the situation this summer has slipped completely out of control for President Obama and congressional Democrats.”

"Many veteran congressional election watchers, including Democratic ones, report an eerie sense of déjà vu, with a consensus forming that the chances of Democratic losses going higher than 20 seats is just as good as the chances of Democratic losses going lower than 20 seats,” he wrote.

At the mid-August Netroots Nation convention, Nate Silver, a Democratic analyst whose uncannily accurate, stat-driven predictions have made his website FiveThirtyEight.com a must read among political junkies, predicted that Republicans will win between 20 and 50 seats next year. He further alarmed an audience of progressive activists by arguing that the GOP has between a 25 and 33 percent chance of winning back control of the House.

“A lot of Democratic freshmen and sophomores will be running in a much tougher environment than in 2006 and 2008 and some will adapt to it, but a lot of others will inevitably freak out and end up losing,” Silver told POLITICO. “Complacency is another factor: We have volunteers who worked really hard in 2006 and in 2008 for Obama but it’s less compelling [for them] to preserve the majority.”
That's got to drive the netroots freaks absolutley nuts. Routinely when during the campaign last year leftists would cite Silver to rebut polling trends favorable to the GOP. And here we have the guy predicting as much as a 50-seat pickup for the Repubs?

That's sweet!

Bill Clinton lost 52 seats in 1994, the year of the GOP takeover of Congress. And 8 in the Senate.


See, "Seats in Congress Gained/Lost by the President's Party in Mid-Term Elections F. Roosevelt - G.W. Bush."

14 comments:

Greywolfe said...

First, let me say that it is indeed good news. However, if we wait until 2010 for these people to leave office, people whose stated ideals and goals are hateful to those of us with a love for Liberty, then it will be a hollow victory at best.

The damage that they are inflicting on our nation will be all but impossible to reverse. We are the largest debtor nation in existance now. How much more damage can we sustain? I have no doubt that The Wicked Witch Of the West (pelosi) will have little trouble bringing her recalcitrant blue-dogs back in line on health care and cap and trade.

If they do push those two items through and the senate passes them, it will be the equivelant of a triple tap with a .45. Two in the chest, one in the head, and tomorrows obituary is a report of the death of America as we knew it.

At that point, we could take EVERY house seat(assuming acorn and the black panthers allow free elections) and it wouldn't matter. It would be like singing praises for putting out a fire after the city has burned.

Hollow victory. At best.

shoprat said...

It's looking a little more hopeful for the non-"progressives" but I wouldn't get to excited yet. Things can turn on a dime and with the Obamaniacs having the MSM in their pockets and endless voter fraud of ACORN, plus intimidation tactics by the union thugs, anything is possible. We have some powerful groups on the left determined to eliminate freedom in this country and they will try do it in the name of social justice.

Norm said...

The voter fraud from urban areas in 2010 will be so massive that Washington will grind to a halt.
They are going to panic at the thought of losing so much power and the fraud will be obvious. We were asleep when they stole the 2008 election, but no more.

Anonymous said...

This is bad news. America is just starting to bail itself out of a recession caused by a republican and now it seems the crooks are about to take over again.

Dennis said...

Anon,
What blather and mindless drivel. The recession was exacerbated by the democrats gaining control of Congress and their desire to wreak havoc on the economy by raising the cost of doing business. Bush did not help himself by going along with some of their tax and spend policies.
Once they drove up transportation costs, because everything gets to market by its use, the dems ensured that the economy would go into recession. Though actual recession, by definition, did not happen until Obama started taking other people's money and throwing it towards his backers instead of areas where it might have an affect.
There is no gain by taking from one and giving to another. It is zero sum or worse. The multiplicity factor of money is nowhere in play.

Anonymous said...

bush was responsible for the recession, we don't need another idiot republican destroying everything obama has just saved.

Greywolfe said...

Anonymous, you cowardly piece of minced garbage. Why the likes of you would bother coming to a site where you have to know you're going to get your head caved in is a mystery.

Your lack of understanding for what it takes to get an economy booming is remarkable.

Do I give Bush and the Republicans a free ride? Hell no. They abandoned free market capitalism and that's one of the reasons for the shape of the economy. When they were in control of both houses and the whitehouse, instead of running with conservative ideals of LESS government and LESS spending, they became Dem-lights. They were every bit as bad as the previous democratically controlled congress was.

G.W.'s biggest flaw as far as I was concerned, outside his abject failure on the border, was the fact that it took him most of his presidency to use his veto powers on spending bills.

Our hope, is that the Republicans will have learned something by the mistakes, or rather sabotage that has been perpetrated by our usurper in chief, and thereby get back on the straight and narrow.

If the owners will forgive me for speaking out, I'd really appreciate it if you'd take your cowardly drive by coolaid spewing drivel and go back to your socialist websites that feed you your talking points.

Donald Douglas said...

Greywolfe: I'd delete this "Anon" troll, but since ya'll have responded the comments will stay up ...

Anonymous said...

Gerywolf, if you think tryin to weakly flame me is "Having my head caved in" then you are clearly an idiot. It's obvious Bush and the Republicans are responsible for all the problems we have currently, and it's obvious you're willing to give him a free ride just because he is a Republican. You can kiss my ass you faggot. It's assholes like you that give people like bush a free pass and it's assholes like you that deny 50 million of your fellow americans health insurance, just too keep big business profits safe. Fuck you and feel free to keep trying to cave my head is, it's laughable, just like your stupid explanations, you fucking bitch.

Anonymous said...

Hey Donald. Go ahead and delete my responses, it would prove two things. Your inability to understand 'freedom of Speech' and your intolorance of any views that conflict with yours, clearly, you're a republican.

Dennis said...

Anon, just another poor leftist looking for negative re-enforcement since he cannot get positive re-enforcement. That would require a brain and the ability to back up his dissembling.

Tom the Redhunter said...

You're awfully sensitive, Anon.

If you want to come here and play with the big boys get ready to have your head handed to you. If you can't hack it go away.

Greywolfe said...

A very wise person said vulgarity is the last refuge of a weak mind. Thank you for making the point clear.

Typical leftist koolaid drinker, if you can't win an argument with facts, try acting like a rabid troll. Yeah, I've seen how that's worked with your union pals.

Dave said...

Hate to tell you, Anon, but our current predicament can be traced directly to a bill that was signed into law in the late 1970s by no less than James Earl Carter, our 39th POTUS.

Had you not been relegated to government school by your child-abusing parents (have you considered suing them?), where you were stripped of any semblance of linear logic whatsoever, you would know that.

-Dave